TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12440714
Played Aug 16Finished
Yurii Kolos
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711116411911––
Oleksii Rodin
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Rodin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Kolos above · Oleksii Rodin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 70 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleksii Rodin at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Kolos 1–1 Oleksii Rodin Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:25What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Rodin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1522 vs Rodin 1572
Rodin
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 0% vs Rodin 40%
Rodin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 30% vs Rodin 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos -5 · Rodin -1
Kolos
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rodin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rodin form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 1.83 / Rodin 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rodin)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12440714
Kolos1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Rodin1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKolos1wins
AwayRodin1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKolosRodinK − RBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match32.532.0+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 94 vs 148 / 23747.9%62.5%45 / 94 vs 148 / 237Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RodinKolos 1.83/Rodin 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rodin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rodin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 10 · 11:35Y. Kolos—6101151O. Rodin—11129113
WAug 2 · 17:35Y. Kolos—1111113O. Rodin—9570
Y. Kolos10
WSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113LSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113LAug 30 · 19:05Y. Kolos1.22871171Y. Parahailo4.0011118113LAug 30 · 17:05M. Khomenko1.401111113Y. Kolos2.751680WAug 30 · 15:05Y. Vorsuliak1.539890Y. Kolos2.381111113WAug 30 · 14:05Y. Kolos2.00118115113O. Rodin1.7371131162WAug 30 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.6189150Y. Kolos2.201111173LAug 16 · 16:35Y. Kolos2.75411641M. Khomenko1.4011611113LAug 16 · 15:35Y. Kolos2.639950O. Alieksieev1.441111113
O. Rodin10
WSep 7 · 08:35O. Rodin2.0011114133Y. Vorsuliak1.737611111LSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880LSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140LSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571WSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793LAug 30 · 14:05Y. Kolos2.00118115113O. Rodin1.7371131162
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