TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044657
Played Aug 30Finished
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8119111517––––
Yurii Kolos
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:57 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeDmytro Shchegelskyi to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmytro Shchegelskyi above · Yurii Kolos below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 15-17
Point 71 set 3, 15-17 — our read held Dmytro Shchegelskyi at 60.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Shchegelskyi 7–5 Yurii Kolos Yurii Kolos has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Shchegelskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Shchegelskyi
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shchegelskyi 1576 vs Kolos 1496
Shchegelskyi
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shchegelskyi 20% vs Kolos 0%
Shchegelskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shchegelskyi 40% vs Kolos 10%
Shchegelskyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shchegelskyi -3 · Kolos -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Shchegelskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolos form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShchegelskyi 1.61 / Kolos 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Shchegelskyi)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13044657
Shchegelskyi1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 117 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it98% 42 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it77% 73 of 95
Kolos2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 9 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShchegelskyi6wins
AwayKolos4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderShchegelskyi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShchegelskyi100%6 of 6
AwayKolos100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shchegelskyi6Kolos4n = 10Shchegelskyi took 6 of 10
S2Shchegelskyi5Kolos5n = 10split evenly
S3Shchegelskyi5Kolos5n = 10split evenly
S4Shchegelskyi4Kolos1n = 5Shchegelskyi took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricShchegelskyiKolosS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.033.2+1.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShchegelskyiKolosBasisWin rate · lifetime475 / 895 vs 45 / 9753.1%46.4%475 / 895 vs 45 / 97Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.235.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShchegelskyiShchegelskyi 1.61/Kolos 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Shchegelskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 19:05D. Shchegelskyi—1211133Y. Kolos—108110
WJul 27 · 11:35D. Shchegelskyi—1161112113Y. Kolos—511131072
WJul 26 · 15:05D. Shchegelskyi—11112123Y. Kolos—2311101
LJul 19 · 17:05D. Shchegelskyi—9860Y. Kolos—1111113
WMar 9 · 07:35D. Shchegelskyi—1111113Y. Kolos—6780
WMar 8 · 15:05D. Shchegelskyi—11813113Y. Kolos—9111191
LFeb 16 · 07:35D. Shchegelskyi—711671Y. Kolos—11511113
LFeb 15 · 16:05D. Shchegelskyi—8660Y. Kolos—1111113
WDec 29 · 07:35D. Shchegelskyi—1111113Y. Kolos—6550
LDec 28 · 15:05D. Shchegelskyi—47111392Y. Kolos—1111611113
D. Shchegelskyi10
WSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113LSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113LSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780LSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793LSep 4 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.63121411102V. Slozka1.441011117123LSep 4 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.67111213113D. Shchegelskyi2.106101581LSep 4 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2091181232A. Romanenko1.611151110113
Y. Kolos10
WSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113LSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113LAug 30 · 19:05Y. Kolos1.22871171Y. Parahailo4.0011118113LAug 30 · 17:05M. Khomenko1.401111113Y. Kolos2.751680WAug 30 · 15:05Y. Vorsuliak1.539890Y. Kolos2.381111113WAug 30 · 14:05Y. Kolos2.00118115113O. Rodin1.7371131162LAug 16 · 16:35Y. Kolos2.75411641M. Khomenko1.4011611113LAug 16 · 15:35Y. Kolos2.639950O. Alieksieev1.441111113LAug 16 · 14:05Y. Kolos1.83711491O. Rodin1.8311611113
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