TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12440706
Played Aug 16Finished
Yurii Kolos
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411116611411––
Maksym Khomenko
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:23 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Kolos above · Maksym Khomenko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 64 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 70.3%
64 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Kolos 3–10 Maksym Khomenko Yurii Kolos has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:23What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Khomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-10 in 13
Khomenko
Correct
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1506 vs Khomenko 1566
Khomenko
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 0% vs Khomenko 40%
Khomenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 20% vs Khomenko 40%
Khomenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos -5 · Khomenko +1
Kolos
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Khomenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khomenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 2.75 / Khomenko 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Khomenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12440706
Kolos2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 9 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Khomenko1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 70 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it82% 46 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolos2wins
AwayKhomenko8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos50%2 of 4
AwayKhomenko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos4Khomenko6n = 10Khomenko took 6 of 10
S2Kolos1Khomenko9n = 10Khomenko took 9 of 10
S3Kolos3Khomenko7n = 10Khomenko took 7 of 10
S4Kolos0Khomenko4n = 4Khomenko took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolosKhomenkoKolos − KhomenkoBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match28.336.6−8.3per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosKhomenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 96 vs 500 / 89446.9%55.9%45 / 96 vs 500 / 894Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.036.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoKolos 2.75/Khomenko 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 09:35Y. Kolos—691171M. Khomenko—11119113
LAug 2 · 12:35Y. Kolos—8760M. Khomenko—1111113
LJun 21 · 16:05Y. Kolos—108110M. Khomenko—1211133
LJun 14 · 17:05Y. Kolos—5620M. Khomenko—1111113
WMar 9 · 12:05Y. Kolos—1211113M. Khomenko—10680
WMar 8 · 19:35Y. Kolos—116114113M. Khomenko—91171182
LFeb 16 · 12:05Y. Kolos—116791M. Khomenko—81111113
LFeb 15 · 17:35Y. Kolos—12750M. Khomenko—1411103
LFeb 6 · 12:35Y. Kolos—115961M. Khomenko—91111113
LDec 29 · 11:05Y. Kolos—51070M. Khomenko—1112113
Y. Kolos10
WSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113LSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113LAug 30 · 19:05Y. Kolos1.22871171Y. Parahailo4.0011118113LAug 30 · 17:05M. Khomenko1.401111113Y. Kolos2.751680WAug 30 · 15:05Y. Vorsuliak1.539890Y. Kolos2.381111113WAug 30 · 14:05Y. Kolos2.00118115113O. Rodin1.7371131162WAug 30 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.6189150Y. Kolos2.201111173LAug 16 · 15:35Y. Kolos2.639950O. Alieksieev1.441111113LAug 16 · 14:05Y. Kolos1.83711491O. Rodin1.8311611113
M. Khomenko10
LSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880WSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140WSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210WSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113LSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113WAug 30 · 17:05M. Khomenko1.401111113Y. Kolos2.751680
Upcoming Matches
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M. Khomenko
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