TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088677
Played Sep 7Finished
Maksym Khomenko
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611711––––
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:15 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Vorsuliak to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Yaroslav Vorsuliak at 61.2%
55 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Khomenko 28–43 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Maksym Khomenko has won 28 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:15What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vorsuliak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-43 in 71
Vorsuliak
Correct
gap of 15 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khomenko 1660 vs Vorsuliak 1639
Khomenko
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khomenko 100% vs Vorsuliak 80%
Khomenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khomenko 80% vs Vorsuliak 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khomenko +5 · Vorsuliak +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vorsuliak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorsuliak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhomenko 2.38 / Vorsuliak 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Vorsuliak)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13088677
Khomenko2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 70 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back31% 31 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back15% 10 of 66
Vorsuliak1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 100 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it79% 70 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhomenko2wins
AwayVorsuliak8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVorsuliak leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhomenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVorsuliak87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khomenko2Vorsuliak8n = 10Vorsuliak took 8 of 10
S2Khomenko2Vorsuliak8n = 10Vorsuliak took 8 of 10
S3Khomenko4Vorsuliak6n = 10Vorsuliak took 6 of 10
S4Khomenko2Vorsuliak3n = 5Vorsuliak took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhomenkoVorsuliakK − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.337.6−5.3per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhomenkoVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime475 / 860 vs 451 / 89355.2%50.5%475 / 860 vs 451 / 893Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorsuliakKhomenko 2.38/Vorsuliak 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Vorsuliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vorsuliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko—9670Y. Vorsuliak—1111113
LSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko—119921Y. Vorsuliak—91111113
LAug 30 · 18:05M. Khomenko—9911111Y. Vorsuliak—11118133
LAug 24 · 08:35M. Khomenko—81491162Y. Vorsuliak—1112116113
LAug 23 · 16:35M. Khomenko—7660Y. Vorsuliak—1111113
LAug 22 · 20:30M. Khomenko—9890Y. Vorsuliak—1111113
WAug 17 · 07:05M. Khomenko—3121111113Y. Vorsuliak—11144982
LAug 16 · 12:05M. Khomenko—612110Y. Vorsuliak—1114133
LAug 15 · 20:30M. Khomenko—391141Y. Vorsuliak—11119113
WAug 8 · 22:30M. Khomenko—1111113Y. Vorsuliak—6630
M. Khomenko10
WSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880WSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140WSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210WSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113LSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113WSep 6 · 01:00V. Korobko2.2061060M. Khomenko1.611112113WSep 5 · 23:00M. Potapov3.407790M. Khomenko1.301111113
Y. Vorsuliak10
WSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113WSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113WSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113WSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113WSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171LSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda1.44111411133Y. Vorsuliak2.637166111WSep 4 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.50114131072Y. Vorsuliak2.507111112113
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