TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079137
Played Sep 6Finished
Maksym Khomenko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811411711––––
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 67.9%
52 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Khomenko 5–2 Oleksandr Storozhenko Oleksandr Storozhenko has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:18What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Khomenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Khomenko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khomenko 1573 vs Storozhenko 1549
Khomenko
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khomenko 80% vs Storozhenko 40%
Khomenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khomenko 70% vs Storozhenko 40%
Khomenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khomenko +4 · Storozhenko -2
Khomenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Khomenko) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhomenko 1.40 / Storozhenko 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Khomenko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079137
Khomenko1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 70 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it100% 39 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it80% 48 of 60
Storozhenko2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 81 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back28% 28 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back15% 9 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKhomenko5wins
AwayStorozhenko2wins
1 of 7 to a deciderKhomenko leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhomenko75%3 of 4
AwayStorozhenko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khomenko4Storozhenko3n = 7Khomenko took 4 of 7
S2Khomenko5Storozhenko2n = 7Khomenko took 5 of 7
S3Khomenko5Storozhenko2n = 7Khomenko took 5 of 7
S4Khomenko3Storozhenko1n = 4Khomenko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricKhomenkoStorozhenkoK − SBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match34.328.6+5.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhomenkoStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime473 / 859 vs 243 / 46955.1%51.8%473 / 859 vs 243 / 469Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoKhomenko 1.40/Storozhenko 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.7%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Storozhenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko—8470O. Storozhenko—1111113
WAug 31 · 09:35M. Khomenko—1111113O. Storozhenko—9570
LAug 30 · 01:00M. Khomenko—11211962O. Storozhenko—811311113
WAug 24 · 09:35M. Khomenko—11115113O. Storozhenko—391151
WAug 23 · 24:00M. Khomenko—1111113O. Storozhenko—6720
WMar 28 · 24:45M. Khomenko—71111113O. Storozhenko—117671
WMar 26 · 22:15M. Khomenko—51111113O. Storozhenko—113771
M. Khomenko10
WSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880WSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140WSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210WSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113WSep 6 · 01:00V. Korobko2.2061060M. Khomenko1.611112113WSep 5 · 23:00M. Potapov3.407790M. Khomenko1.301111113WSep 5 · 22:00M. Khomenko1.361111113113D. Maltsev3.0013881162
O. Storozhenko10
LSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.73116971D. Maltsev2.0041111113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Tebenko2.10116611113O. Storozhenko1.6741111972WSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov2.25511561O. Storozhenko1.5711711113LSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 18:25Y. Tebenko2.1031212672O. Storozhenko1.6711101011113LSep 4 · 17:25M. Potapov2.5013115113O. Storozhenko1.501191151WSep 4 · 15:55O. Budnikov2.381111115112O. Storozhenko1.53471311133LSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131WSep 4 · 11:55D. Maltsev1.911231181O. Storozhenko1.80101113113LSep 4 · 02:15O. Storozhenko1.8011390V. Korobko1.911311113
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