TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078913
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114611911711––
Denys Maltsev
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Storozhenko above · Denys Maltsev below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 70 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 54.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Storozhenko 23–28 Denys Maltsev Oleksandr Storozhenko has won 23 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:29What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Storozhenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-28 in 51
Maltsev
Correct
gap of 5 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Storozhenko 1534 vs Maltsev 1490
Storozhenko
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Storozhenko 40% vs Maltsev 20%
Storozhenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Storozhenko 50% vs Maltsev 20%
Storozhenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Storozhenko -1 · Maltsev +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Storozhenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maltsev form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStorozhenko 1.73 / Maltsev 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Storozhenko)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #13078913
Storozhenko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 155 of 280
Up 2–0, closes it86% 57 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it69% 98 of 143
Maltsev2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 90 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStorozhenko7wins
AwayMaltsev3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStorozhenko66.7%4 of 6
AwayMaltsev25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Storozhenko6Maltsev4n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S2Storozhenko5Maltsev5n = 10split evenly
S3Storozhenko6Maltsev4n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S4Storozhenko6Maltsev3n = 9Storozhenko took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStorozhenkoMaltsevS − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.235.1+5.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStorozhenkoMaltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 468 vs 451 / 88451.7%51%242 / 468 vs 451 / 884Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoStorozhenko 1.73/Maltsev 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko—116971D. Maltsev—41111113
WSep 4 · 11:55O. Storozhenko—101113113D. Maltsev—1231181
WAug 31 · 11:35O. Storozhenko—11119113D. Maltsev—561161
WAug 29 · 22:00O. Storozhenko—91111113D. Maltsev—119441
WAug 29 · 01:45O. Storozhenko—11114113D. Maltsev—6111251
WAug 26 · 10:05O. Storozhenko—11811113D. Maltsev—711961
WAug 25 · 12:05O. Storozhenko—81111113D. Maltsev—116681
LAug 21 · 01:45O. Storozhenko—11139862D. Maltsev—8111111113
WAug 18 · 03:00O. Storozhenko—119117113D. Maltsev—71161152
LAug 15 · 03:00O. Storozhenko—71080D. Maltsev—1112113
O. Storozhenko10
WSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Tebenko2.10116611113O. Storozhenko1.6741111972WSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov2.25511561O. Storozhenko1.5711711113LSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 18:25Y. Tebenko2.1031212672O. Storozhenko1.6711101011113LSep 4 · 17:25M. Potapov2.5013115113O. Storozhenko1.501191151WSep 4 · 15:55O. Budnikov2.381111115112O. Storozhenko1.53471311133LSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131WSep 4 · 11:55D. Maltsev1.911231181O. Storozhenko1.80101113113LSep 4 · 02:15O. Storozhenko1.8011390V. Korobko1.911311113
D. Maltsev10
WSep 6 · 02:30Y. Tebenko1.838220D. Maltsev1.831111113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113LSep 5 · 22:00M. Khomenko1.361111113113D. Maltsev3.0013881162LSep 5 · 20:00M. Potapov1.911111118113D. Maltsev1.8013971172LSep 4 · 17:55D. Maltsev1.918111091O. Budnikov1.8011712113LSep 4 · 16:25D. Maltsev1.831012129152Y. Tebenko1.8312101011173LSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113LSep 4 · 13:25D. Maltsev1.7384111182M. Potapov2.00111179113LSep 4 · 11:55D. Maltsev1.911231181O. Storozhenko1.80101113113LSep 1 · 18:35I. Pytsko1.5711611113D. Maltsev2.25711771
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