TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055396
Played Sep 1Finished
Ivan Pytsko
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117611117117––
Denys Maltsev
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Pytsko above · Denys Maltsev below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 71 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 60.5%
71 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Pytsko 35–12 Denys Maltsev Denys Maltsev has won 12 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:46What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-12 in 47
Pytsko
Correct
gap of 23 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytsko 1575 vs Maltsev 1543
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytsko 80% vs Maltsev 60%
Pytsko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytsko 70% vs Maltsev 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytsko +2 · Maltsev +3
Maltsev
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Pytsko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maltsev form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytsko 1.57 / Maltsev 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Pytsko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13055396
Pytsko1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite43% won 36 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it68% 28 of 41
Maltsev2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 89 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePytsko3wins
AwayMaltsev7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMaltsev leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytsko40%2 of 5
AwayMaltsev80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytsko5Maltsev5n = 10split evenly
S2Pytsko4Maltsev6n = 10Maltsev took 6 of 10
S3Pytsko4Maltsev6n = 10Maltsev took 6 of 10
S4Pytsko5Maltsev5n = 10split evenly
S5Pytsko2Maltsev4n = 6Maltsev took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPytskoMaltsevP − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.444.4−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytskoMaltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 580 vs 459 / 89355.7%51.4%323 / 580 vs 459 / 893Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoPytsko 1.57/Maltsev 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 01:30I. Pytsko—871271D. Maltsev—111110113
LAug 5 · 10:05I. Pytsko—56111132D. Maltsev—111148113
LJul 17 · 22:15I. Pytsko—1111115122D. Maltsev—291311143
LJul 15 · 06:05I. Pytsko—671171D. Maltsev—11119113
WJul 14 · 17:05I. Pytsko—11128113D. Maltsev—5101191
LJul 13 · 21:00I. Pytsko—117101162D. Maltsev—611128113
LJul 10 · 20:45I. Pytsko—81011101D. Maltsev—11125123
LMar 4 · 09:35I. Pytsko—111157102D. Maltsev—951111123
WMar 2 · 23:00I. Pytsko—811611113D. Maltsev—11611792
WFeb 25 · 05:55I. Pytsko—12101111123D. Maltsev—1012135102
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131LSep 4 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.919111311113I. Pytsko1.8011915862
D. Maltsev10
WSep 6 · 02:30Y. Tebenko1.838220D. Maltsev1.831111113WSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.73116971D. Maltsev2.0041111113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113LSep 5 · 22:00M. Khomenko1.361111113113D. Maltsev3.0013881162LSep 5 · 20:00M. Potapov1.911111118113D. Maltsev1.8013971172LSep 4 · 17:55D. Maltsev1.918111091O. Budnikov1.8011712113LSep 4 · 16:25D. Maltsev1.831012129152Y. Tebenko1.8312101011173LSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113LSep 4 · 13:25D. Maltsev1.7384111182M. Potapov2.00111179113LSep 4 · 11:55D. Maltsev1.911231181O. Storozhenko1.80101113113
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