TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079070
Played Sep 5Finished
Ihor Kvak
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117116411811411
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:09 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Kvak above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 84 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 60.8%
84 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Kvak 0–4 Ivan Pytsko Ihor Kvak has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Pytsko
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kvak 1507 vs Pytsko 1512
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kvak 20% vs Pytsko 80%
Pytsko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kvak 20% vs Pytsko 50%
Pytsko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kvak +1 · Pytsko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Pytsko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKvak 2.38 / Pytsko 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Pytsko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13079070
Kvak2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 8 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back25% 2 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Pytsko1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite45% won 43 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it69% 34 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKvak0wins
AwayPytsko4wins
2 of 4 to a deciderPytsko leads 4–0, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kvak2Pytsko2n = 4split evenly
S2Kvak1Pytsko3n = 4Pytsko took 3 of 4
S3Kvak2Pytsko2n = 4split evenly
S4Kvak0Pytsko3n = 3Pytsko took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKvakPytskoK − PBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match32.543.2−10.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKvakPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 59 vs 328 / 59054.2%55.6%32 / 59 vs 328 / 590Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoKvak 2.38/Pytsko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak—11114842I. Pytsko—761111113
LSep 2 · 09:35I. Kvak—111013482I. Pytsko—8121111113
LAug 29 · 05:25I. Kvak—5560I. Pytsko—1111113
LAug 16 · 05:25I. Kvak—961141I. Pytsko—11118113
I. Kvak10
WSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360LSep 5 · 16:55O. Hudyma1.50131179163I. Kvak2.501151111142LSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380WSep 5 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.80131111642I. Kvak1.91157911103LSep 2 · 11:35I. Kvak1.80117971M. Slozka1.9131111113LSep 2 · 09:35I. Pytsko1.508121111113I. Kvak2.50111013482LSep 2 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi1.83117411113I. Kvak1.8371111872LSep 2 · 06:35I. Kvak2.00113981M. Potapov1.7341111113LSep 2 · 05:35Y. Tebenko1.4471111113I. Kvak2.63117991LAug 29 · 10:55I. Kvak1.5724131182M. Slozka2.251111119113
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131LSep 4 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.919111311113I. Pytsko1.8011915862WSep 2 · 09:35I. Pytsko1.508121111113I. Kvak2.50111013482
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.