TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078935
Played Sep 5Finished
Ihor Kvak
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115113116––––
Mykola Slozka
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIhor Kvak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Kvak above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 47 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Ihor Kvak at 54.0%
47 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Kvak 3–2 Mykola Slozka Mykola Slozka has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:40What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Slozka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kvak 1440 vs Slozka 1621
Slozka
Wrong
both rated, 181 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kvak 20% vs Slozka 100%
Slozka
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kvak 10% vs Slozka 90%
Slozka
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kvak -3 · Slozka +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slozka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKvak 1.83 / Slozka 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slozka)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13078935
Kvak1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Slozka1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKvak3wins
AwaySlozka2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderKvak leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKvak66.7%2 of 3
AwaySlozkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kvak3Slozka2n = 5Kvak took 3 of 5
S2Kvak2Slozka3n = 5Slozka took 3 of 5
S3Kvak2Slozka3n = 5Slozka took 3 of 5
S4Kvak4Slozka1n = 5Kvak took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKvakSlozkaK − SBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match40.439.8+0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKvakSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 58 vs 341 / 76653.5%44.5%31 / 58 vs 341 / 766Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaKvak 1.83/Slozka 1.83
Miss
What we said
54%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kvak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 2 · 11:35I. Kvak—117971M. Slozka—31111113
LAug 29 · 10:55I. Kvak—24131182M. Slozka—1111119113
WAug 16 · 08:55I. Kvak—71112113M. Slozka—1141071
WAug 2 · 11:25I. Kvak—11119133M. Slozka—9211111
WAug 1 · 16:25I. Kvak—113713113M. Slozka—611111162
I. Kvak10
LSep 5 · 16:55O. Hudyma1.50131179163I. Kvak2.501151111142LSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.80131111642I. Kvak1.91157911103LSep 2 · 11:35I. Kvak1.80117971M. Slozka1.9131111113LSep 2 · 09:35I. Pytsko1.508121111113I. Kvak2.50111013482LSep 2 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi1.83117411113I. Kvak1.8371111872LSep 2 · 06:35I. Kvak2.00113981M. Potapov1.7341111113LSep 2 · 05:35Y. Tebenko1.4471111113I. Kvak2.63117991LAug 29 · 10:55I. Kvak1.5724131182M. Slozka2.251111119113
M. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113WSep 2 · 11:35I. Kvak1.80117971M. Slozka1.9131111113WAug 29 · 10:55I. Kvak1.5724131182M. Slozka2.251111119113
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