TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084631
Played Sep 6Finished
Mykola Slozka
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111412811811––
Serhii Prus
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:18 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMykola Slozka above · Serhii Prus below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 83 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 62.5%
83 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Slozka 9–9 Serhii Prus Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 8–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Slozka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1579 vs Prus 1480
Slozka
Wrong
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 80% vs Prus 60%
Slozka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 90% vs Prus 60%
Slozka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka +4 · Prus -1
Slozka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Slozka) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prus form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 1.44 / Prus 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Slozka)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13084631
Slozka1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 68 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it82% 37 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it75% 55 of 73
Prus2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 39 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back16% 6 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlozka8wins
AwayPrus2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSlozka leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka83.3%5 of 6
AwayPrus25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka6Prus4n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S2Slozka9Prus1n = 10Slozka took 9 of 10
S3Slozka5Prus5n = 10split evenly
S4Slozka6Prus2n = 8Slozka took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlozkaPrusS − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.334.0+6.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaPrusBasisWin rate · lifetime345 / 772 vs 199 / 41144.7%48.4%345 / 772 vs 199 / 411Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaSlozka 1.44/Prus 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Prus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka—814881S. Prus—111211113
WSep 5 · 13:25M. Slozka—11115113S. Prus—571151
WSep 4 · 21:45M. Slozka—12118123S. Prus—10911101
WAug 2 · 05:55M. Slozka—711911113S. Prus—11611892
WAug 1 · 14:25M. Slozka—1111103S. Prus—5670
WJul 31 · 23:15M. Slozka—12911113S. Prus—1011851
WJun 27 · 05:55M. Slozka—81114113S. Prus—1161251
LFeb 21 · 15:55M. Slozka—11134862S. Prus—9111111103
WFeb 15 · 09:55M. Slozka—1111113S. Prus—5790
WFeb 1 · 05:25M. Slozka—81111113S. Prus—113271
M. Slozka10
WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113WSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113WSep 5 · 03:15O. Sydorchuk2.20621141M. Slozka1.6111114113
S. Prus10
LSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113WSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852LSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740WSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113LSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus2.00117119123V. Kuzmych1.73811811102
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