TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079320
Played Sep 5Finished
Serhii Prus
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117114––––
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Sydorchuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Oleksandr Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 50 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Sydorchuk at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 10–4 Oleksandr Sydorchuk Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:48What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sydorchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-4 in 14
Prus
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prus 1440 vs Sydorchuk 1458
Sydorchuk
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 40% vs Sydorchuk 20%
Prus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 50% vs Sydorchuk 30%
Prus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus +1 · Sydorchuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sydorchuk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 2.00 / Sydorchuk 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Sydorchuk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13079320
Prus2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 37 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back17% 6 of 35
Sydorchuk1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 72 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it88% 37 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it79% 50 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrus6wins
AwaySydorchuk4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPrus leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrus80%4 of 5
AwaySydorchuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prus5Sydorchuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Prus3Sydorchuk7n = 10Sydorchuk took 7 of 10
S3Prus5Sydorchuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Prus4Sydorchuk6n = 10Sydorchuk took 6 of 10
S5Prus5Sydorchuk0n = 5Prus took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrusSydorchukP − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.843.4−2.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 406 vs 154 / 28948%53.3%195 / 406 vs 154 / 289Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorchukPrus 2.00/Sydorchuk 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Sydorchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Prus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 23:15S. Prus—511751O. Sydorchuk—11911113
LAug 1 · 02:15S. Prus—115651O. Sydorchuk—91111113
LJul 19 · 10:55S. Prus—971181O. Sydorchuk—11114113
WJul 18 · 16:25S. Prus—1113411113O. Sydorchuk—91511392
LJun 4 · 06:25S. Prus—571131O. Sydorchuk—11119113
WApr 10 · 22:45S. Prus—1211713113O. Sydorchuk—149111172
WApr 5 · 05:55S. Prus—8121011133O. Sydorchuk—1110125112
WFeb 27 · 12:55S. Prus—116119113O. Sydorchuk—51191182
WFeb 13 · 07:25S. Prus—1141110113O. Sydorchuk—81181272
WFeb 8 · 10:55S. Prus—11611113O. Sydorchuk—911851
S. Prus10
WSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113LSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113WSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852LSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113LSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus2.00117119123V. Kuzmych1.73811811102
O. Sydorchuk10
LSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761LSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852WSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 14:25O. Hudyma1.831061111102O. Sydorchuk1.83121132123LSep 5 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.80131111642I. Kvak1.91157911103LSep 5 · 03:15O. Sydorchuk2.20621141M. Slozka1.6111114113
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