TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084007
Played Sep 6Finished
Taras Gil
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116119––––
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeTaras Gil to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTaras Gil above · Oleksandr Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Taras Gil at 58.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Taras Gil 5–2 Oleksandr Sydorchuk Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Gil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Gil
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gil 1497 vs Sydorchuk 1420
Gil
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gil 40% vs Sydorchuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gil 50% vs Sydorchuk 30%
Gil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gil +1 · Sydorchuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Gil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gil form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGil 1.61 / Sydorchuk 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Gil)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084007
Gil1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 34 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it77% 26 of 34
Sydorchuk2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 34 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back22% 11 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeGil5wins
AwaySydorchuk2wins
2 of 7 to a deciderGil leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGil66.7%4 of 6
AwaySydorchukn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gil6Sydorchuk1n = 7Gil took 6 of 7
S2Gil3Sydorchuk4n = 7Sydorchuk took 4 of 7
S3Gil5Sydorchuk2n = 7Gil took 5 of 7
S4Gil3Sydorchuk3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricGilSydorchukG − SBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match40.335.6+4.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGilSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 216 vs 156 / 29657.4%52.7%124 / 216 vs 156 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GilGil 1.61/Sydorchuk 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Gil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil—1111113O. Sydorchuk—6690
WSep 4 · 22:15T. Gil—111247113O. Sydorchuk—910111142
LJul 18 · 12:55T. Gil—11911882O. Sydorchuk—911511113
WJun 7 · 04:55T. Gil—11811113O. Sydorchuk—711591
WMay 3 · 07:55T. Gil—111112113O. Sydorchuk—1341061
LApr 19 · 08:55T. Gil—113981O. Sydorchuk—61111113
WJan 1 · 17:55T. Gil—11711113O. Sydorchuk—411981
T. Gil10
WSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113LSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851LSep 6 · 06:25T. Gil1.28119111172R. Bihun3.50411138113LSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950WSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 01:45M. Slozka2.255111561T. Gil1.5711917113WSep 5 · 24:15V. Kuzmych2.20711491T. Gil1.6111611113WSep 4 · 22:15O. Sydorchuk2.20910111142T. Gil1.61111247113LSep 4 · 20:15S. Prus2.75411311113T. Gil1.4011411882LAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660
O. Sydorchuk10
WSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761LSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852WSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740LSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 14:25O. Hudyma1.831061111102O. Sydorchuk1.83121132123LSep 5 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.80131111642I. Kvak1.91157911103LSep 4 · 22:15O. Sydorchuk2.20910111142T. Gil1.61111247113
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