TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084125
Played Sep 6Finished
Taras Gil
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1149111113118711
Roman Bihun
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:11 and never touched — 74.3% is still 74.3%
Graded at full timeTaras Gil to win
74.3%
74.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTaras Gil above · Roman Bihun below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 96 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Taras Gil at 74.3%
96 points played in total.
H2H Taras Gil 5–1 Roman Bihun Roman Bihun has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:11What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Gil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Gil
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gil 1497 vs Bihun 1385
Gil
Wrong
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gil 80% vs Bihun 60%
Gil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gil 50% vs Bihun 80%
Bihun
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gil -1 · Bihun -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Gil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bihun form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGil 1.28 / Bihun 3.50
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Gil)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084125
Gil1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 36 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it76% 28 of 37
Bihun3.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 13 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back21% 3 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeGil5wins
AwayBihun1wins
2 of 6 to a deciderGil leads 5–1, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGil80%4 of 5
AwayBihunn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gil5Bihun1n = 6Gil took 5 of 6
S2Gil4Bihun2n = 6Gil took 4 of 6
S3Gil4Bihun2n = 6Gil took 4 of 6
S4Gil3Bihun0n = 3Gil took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricGilBihunG − BBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match40.231.0+9.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGilBihunBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 214 vs 52 / 11557%45.2%122 / 214 vs 52 / 115Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.234.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GilGil 1.28/Bihun 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.3%
Gil · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bihun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 6 · 06:25T. Gil—119111172R. Bihun—411138113
WJan 10 · 06:25T. Gil—1111113R. Bihun—4440
WSep 7 · 04:25T. Gil—1111113R. Bihun—8960
WMay 30 · 18:25T. Gil—1112113R. Bihun—61040
WFeb 2 · 06:25T. Gil—511914113R. Bihun—117111292
WJan 19 · 06:55T. Gil—11911113R. Bihun—911771
T. Gil10
WSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113LSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851LSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950WSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 01:45M. Slozka2.255111561T. Gil1.5711917113WSep 5 · 24:15V. Kuzmych2.20711491T. Gil1.6111611113WSep 4 · 22:15O. Sydorchuk2.20910111142T. Gil1.61111247113LSep 4 · 20:15S. Prus2.75411311113T. Gil1.4011411882LAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660
R. Bihun10
LSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171LSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970WAug 5 · 11:25V. Hel2.0011104101R. Bihun1.7371211123WAug 5 · 09:55R. Bihun2.1011114113M. Styranets1.67671171LAug 5 · 07:55O. Melnik2.201113113R. Bihun1.6191190WAug 5 · 05:55A. Didyk2.383580R. Bihun1.531111113WAug 5 · 04:55S. Kryvoshyi2.7511116862R. Bihun1.40761111113WJul 22 · 10:55R. Bihun1.441111113S. Kryvoshyi2.638670
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