TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12362489
Played Aug 5Finished
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117116611811611
Roman Bihun
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:40 and never touched — 75.1% is still 75.1%
Graded at full timeRoman Bihun to win
75.1%
75.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Kryvoshyi above · Roman Bihun below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 88 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Roman Bihun at 75.1%
88 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kryvoshyi 3–9 Roman Bihun Serhii Kryvoshyi has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:40What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Bihun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-9 in 12
Bihun
Correct
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvoshyi 1347 vs Bihun 1413
Bihun
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvoshyi 40% vs Bihun 80%
Bihun
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvoshyi 70% vs Bihun 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvoshyi +2 · Bihun +4
Bihun
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Bihun)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvoshyi 2.75 / Bihun 1.40
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Bihun)+8.8pp
Setka Cup · #12362489
Kryvoshyi2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 29 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 38
Bihun1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite67% won 10 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvoshyi3wins
AwayBihun7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBihun leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvoshyi33.3%1 of 3
AwayBihun71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvoshyi3Bihun7n = 10Bihun took 7 of 10
S2Kryvoshyi4Bihun6n = 10Bihun took 6 of 10
S3Kryvoshyi6Bihun4n = 10Kryvoshyi took 6 of 10
S4Kryvoshyi1Bihun6n = 7Bihun took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvoshyiBihunK − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.538.1−5.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvoshyiBihunBasisWin rate · lifetime264 / 563 vs 50 / 12046.9%41.7%264 / 563 vs 50 / 120Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.834.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BihunKryvoshyi 2.75/Bihun 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.1%
Bihun · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bihun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 22 · 10:55S. Kryvoshyi—8670R. Bihun—1111113
LMar 6 · 11:25S. Kryvoshyi—118551R. Bihun—91111113
LFeb 20 · 13:25S. Kryvoshyi—8511101R. Bihun—11119123
LJan 31 · 06:25S. Kryvoshyi—81111952R. Bihun—119511113
WOct 18 · 14:25S. Kryvoshyi—7111293R. Bihun—1131051
WOct 8 · 04:55S. Kryvoshyi—1111113R. Bihun—9990
LJul 4 · 14:25S. Kryvoshyi—119581R. Bihun—71111113
LFeb 22 · 17:25S. Kryvoshyi—731131R. Bihun—11117113
WFeb 8 · 07:55S. Kryvoshyi—511119113R. Bihun—11881182
LJan 12 · 07:55S. Kryvoshyi—31080R. Bihun—1112113
S. Kryvoshyi10
LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520LSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133LSep 2 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.251011131062O. Maksymkiv3.751271112113LSep 2 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.2278110O. Melnik4.001111133
R. Bihun10
LSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:25T. Gil1.28119111172R. Bihun3.50411138113LSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970WAug 5 · 11:25V. Hel2.0011104101R. Bihun1.7371211123WAug 5 · 09:55R. Bihun2.1011114113M. Styranets1.67671171LAug 5 · 07:55O. Melnik2.201113113R. Bihun1.6191190WAug 5 · 05:55A. Didyk2.383580R. Bihun1.531111113WJul 22 · 10:55R. Bihun1.441111113S. Kryvoshyi2.638670
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