TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089273
Played Sep 7Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
4.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611711––––
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Away
1.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:03 and never touched — 77.7% is still 77.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kryvoshyi to win
77.7%
77.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Serhii Kryvoshyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Serhii Kryvoshyi at 77.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 1–7 Serhii Kryvoshyi Mykolay Treschetka has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 16h before this match
Kryvoshyi beat Treschetka 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:03What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Kryvoshyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Kryvoshyi
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1195 vs Kryvoshyi 1210
Kryvoshyi
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 60% vs Kryvoshyi 40%
Treschetka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 60% vs Kryvoshyi 30%
Treschetka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka -1 · Kryvoshyi -3
Kryvoshyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Kryvoshyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvoshyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 4.33 / Kryvoshyi 1.20
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Kryvoshyi)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13089273
Treschetka4.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 93 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back13% 9 of 72
Kryvoshyi1.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 66 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it84% 56 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeTreschetka1wins
AwayKryvoshyi7wins
1 of 8 to a deciderKryvoshyi leads 7–1, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetkan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKryvoshyi85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka1Kryvoshyi7n = 8Kryvoshyi took 7 of 8
S2Treschetka0Kryvoshyi8n = 8Kryvoshyi took 8 of 8
S3Treschetka2Kryvoshyi6n = 8Kryvoshyi took 6 of 8
S4Treschetka1Kryvoshyi2n = 3Kryvoshyi took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away563%
These 8 meetings
MetricTreschetkaKryvoshyiT − KBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set17−6of 8Avg pointsper match25.035.4−10.4per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaKryvoshyiBasisWin rate · lifetime479 / 949 vs 252 / 55350.5%45.6%479 / 949 vs 252 / 553Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvoshyiTreschetka 4.33/Kryvoshyi 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.7%
Kryvoshyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kryvoshyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 6 · 12:55M. Treschetka—3520S. Kryvoshyi—111173
WAug 19 · 08:55M. Treschetka—961111113S. Kryvoshyi—11115562
LMay 11 · 04:25M. Treschetka—5650S. Kryvoshyi—1111113
LMay 10 · 18:25M. Treschetka—7780S. Kryvoshyi—1111113
LMar 2 · 07:55M. Treschetka—691191S. Kryvoshyi—11118113
LMar 1 · 13:25M. Treschetka—96110S. Kryvoshyi—1111133
LJan 12 · 10:25M. Treschetka—5450S. Kryvoshyi—1111113
LJan 11 · 13:55M. Treschetka—115581S. Kryvoshyi—81111113
M. Treschetka10
LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520WSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183LSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 04:55M. Treschetka1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.755330
S. Kryvoshyi10
LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520LSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133LSep 2 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.251011131062O. Maksymkiv3.751271112113LSep 2 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.2278110O. Melnik4.001111133LSep 2 · 05:55S. Kryvoshyi1.36711612102V. Kheresko3.001191110123
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