TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084033
Played Sep 6Finished
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11311572––––
Mykolay Treschetka
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:51 and never touched — 78.2% is still 78.2%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kryvoshyi to win
78.2%
78.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Kryvoshyi above · Mykolay Treschetka below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 3-1
Point 34 set 3, 3-1 — our read held Serhii Kryvoshyi at 78.2%
34 points drawn · the score is 5 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Serhii Kryvoshyi 6–1 Mykolay Treschetka Mykolay Treschetka has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:51What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Kryvoshyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Kryvoshyi
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvoshyi 1260 vs Treschetka 1203
Kryvoshyi
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvoshyi 20% vs Treschetka 60%
Treschetka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvoshyi 40% vs Treschetka 80%
Treschetka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvoshyi -4 · Treschetka +2
Kryvoshyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Kryvoshyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Treschetka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvoshyi 1.22 / Treschetka 4.00
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Kryvoshyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13084033
Kryvoshyi1.22
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 64 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it83% 55 of 66
Treschetka4.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 92 of 218
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back13% 9 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKryvoshyi6wins
AwayTreschetka1wins
1 of 7 to a deciderKryvoshyi leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvoshyi83.3%5 of 6
AwayTreschetkan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvoshyi6Treschetka1n = 7Kryvoshyi took 6 of 7
S2Kryvoshyi7Treschetka0n = 7Kryvoshyi took 7 of 7
S3Kryvoshyi5Treschetka2n = 7Kryvoshyi took 5 of 7
S4Kryvoshyi2Treschetka1n = 3Kryvoshyi took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home457%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKryvoshyiTreschetkaK − TBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match36.327.1+9.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvoshyiTreschetkaBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 558 vs 480 / 94846.2%50.6%258 / 558 vs 480 / 948Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvoshyiKryvoshyi 1.22/Treschetka 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.2%
Kryvoshyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kryvoshyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 19 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi—11115562M. Treschetka—961111113
WMay 11 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi—1111113M. Treschetka—5650
WMay 10 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi—1111113M. Treschetka—7780
WMar 2 · 07:55S. Kryvoshyi—11118113M. Treschetka—691191
WMar 1 · 13:25S. Kryvoshyi—1111133M. Treschetka—96110
WJan 12 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi—1111113M. Treschetka—5450
WJan 11 · 13:55S. Kryvoshyi—81111113M. Treschetka—115581
S. Kryvoshyi10
LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113LSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133LSep 2 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.251011131062O. Maksymkiv3.751271112113LSep 2 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.2278110O. Melnik4.001111133LSep 2 · 05:55S. Kryvoshyi1.36711612102V. Kheresko3.001191110123
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861WSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183LSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 04:55M. Treschetka1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.755330
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