TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066650
Played Sep 3Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1177111178111618
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeMykolay Treschetka to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Viktor Ivanytskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 16-18
Point 107 set 5, 16-18 — our read held Mykolay Treschetka at 65.3%
107 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 2–1 Viktor Ivanytskyi Viktor Ivanytskyi has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Treschetka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1203 vs Ivanytskyi 1070
Treschetka
Wrong
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 80% vs Ivanytskyi 60%
Treschetka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 80% vs Ivanytskyi 60%
Treschetka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka -1 · Ivanytskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Treschetka) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivanytskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 1.40 / Ivanytskyi 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Treschetka)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13066650
Treschetka1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 84 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it80% 59 of 74
Ivanytskyi2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 25 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTreschetka2wins
AwayIvanytskyi1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderTreschetka leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka2Ivanytskyi1n = 3Treschetka took 2 of 3
S2Treschetka2Ivanytskyi1n = 3Treschetka took 2 of 3
S3Treschetka3Ivanytskyi0n = 3Treschetka took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricTreschetkaIvanytskyiT − IBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match42.035.3+6.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaIvanytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime485 / 956 vs 101 / 16750.7%60.5%485 / 956 vs 101 / 167Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TreschetkaTreschetka 1.40/Ivanytskyi 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.1%
Treschetka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ivanytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka—117118162V. Ivanytskyi—711711183
WSep 2 · 11:55M. Treschetka—1111113V. Ivanytskyi—9930
WJul 30 · 07:25M. Treschetka—71111113V. Ivanytskyi—117941
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520WSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113
V. Ivanytskyi10
LSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113WSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113LSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070WSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113WSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 11:55M. Treschetka1.611111113V. Ivanytskyi2.209930WAug 30 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113Y. Shcherbak2.638980
Upcoming Matches
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V. Ivanytskyi
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