TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088725
Played Sep 7Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4119111161113––
Oleh Maksymkiv
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:15 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeMykolay Treschetka to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Oleh Maksymkiv below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 76 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Mykolay Treschetka at 67.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 61–31 Oleh Maksymkiv Oleh Maksymkiv has won 31 of their 92 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:15What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Treschetka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
61-31 in 92
Treschetka
Wrong
gap of 30 in 92, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1172 vs Maksymkiv 1250
Maksymkiv
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 60% vs Maksymkiv 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 50% vs Maksymkiv 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka -2 · Maksymkiv -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Treschetka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymkiv form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 1.40 / Maksymkiv 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Treschetka)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13088725
Treschetka1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 84 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it78% 57 of 73
Maksymkiv2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 63 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTreschetka9wins
AwayMaksymkiv1wins
Treschetka leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetka100%8 of 8
AwayMaksymkivn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka8Maksymkiv2n = 10Treschetka took 8 of 10
S2Treschetka5Maksymkiv5n = 10split evenly
S3Treschetka10Maksymkiv0n = 10Treschetka took 10 of 10
S4Treschetka5Maksymkiv1n = 6Treschetka took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTreschetkaMaksymkivT − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.225.2+12.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaMaksymkivBasisWin rate · lifetime479 / 951 vs 377 / 71950.4%52.4%479 / 951 vs 377 / 719Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TreschetkaTreschetka 1.40/Maksymkiv 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.5%
Treschetka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maksymkiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka—4911111O. Maksymkiv—11116133
WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka—11911113O. Maksymkiv—611861
WSep 3 · 04:55M. Treschetka—1111113O. Maksymkiv—5330
WAug 31 · 08:25M. Treschetka—11811113O. Maksymkiv—811651
WAug 30 · 12:55M. Treschetka—11611113O. Maksymkiv—811291
WAug 28 · 04:25M. Treschetka—1111113O. Maksymkiv—8320
WAug 27 · 18:55M. Treschetka—1111113O. Maksymkiv—4950
WAug 23 · 14:25M. Treschetka—1112113O. Maksymkiv—71030
WAug 19 · 05:55M. Treschetka—11711113O. Maksymkiv—411961
WAug 17 · 07:25M. Treschetka—91111113O. Maksymkiv—116561
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520WSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183LSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113
O. Maksymkiv10
LSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861WSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113LSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 05:55M. Dunas3.40971541O. Maksymkiv1.30111113113
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