TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066738
Played Sep 3Finished
Anatolii Nikolenko
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12141210111114––
Oleh Maksymkiv
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 73.7% is still 73.7%
Graded at full timeOleh Maksymkiv to win
73.7%
73.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnatolii Nikolenko above · Oleh Maksymkiv below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-1
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 75 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Oleh Maksymkiv at 73.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nikolenko 17–18 Oleh Maksymkiv Anatolii Nikolenko has won 17 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Maksymkiv
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-18 in 35
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nikolenko 962 vs Maksymkiv 1210
Maksymkiv
Wrong
both rated, 248 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nikolenko 0% vs Maksymkiv 40%
Maksymkiv
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nikolenko 10% vs Maksymkiv 50%
Maksymkiv
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nikolenko -5 · Maksymkiv -1
Nikolenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Maksymkiv)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymkiv form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNikolenko 3.25 / Maksymkiv 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Maksymkiv)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13066738
Nikolenko3.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 38 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Maksymkiv1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 124 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it83% 86 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNikolenko2wins
AwayMaksymkiv8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMaksymkiv leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNikolenko40%2 of 5
AwayMaksymkiv100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nikolenko5Maksymkiv5n = 10split evenly
S2Nikolenko1Maksymkiv9n = 10Maksymkiv took 9 of 10
S3Nikolenko1Maksymkiv9n = 10Maksymkiv took 9 of 10
S4Nikolenko2Maksymkiv3n = 5Maksymkiv took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricNikolenkoMaksymkivN − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match30.137.2−7.1per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNikolenkoMaksymkivBasisWin rate · lifetime328 / 694 vs 372 / 71147.3%52.3%328 / 694 vs 372 / 711Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksymkivNikolenko 3.25/Maksymkiv 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.7%
Maksymkiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nikolenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 15 · 06:25A. Nikolenko—46100O. Maksymkiv—1111123
LJun 14 · 12:25A. Nikolenko—11115662O. Maksymkiv—981111113
WJun 10 · 12:55A. Nikolenko—118511113O. Maksymkiv—91111652
LMay 25 · 11:25A. Nikolenko—8760O. Maksymkiv—1111113
LApr 15 · 10:55A. Nikolenko—4680O. Maksymkiv—1111113
LMar 28 · 07:55A. Nikolenko—117991O. Maksymkiv—71111113
LMar 19 · 06:25A. Nikolenko—97110O. Maksymkiv—1111133
LFeb 12 · 06:25A. Nikolenko—116751O. Maksymkiv—41111113
WFeb 11 · 16:55A. Nikolenko—12512113O. Maksymkiv—10111041
LJan 21 · 06:25A. Nikolenko—9880O. Maksymkiv—1111113
A. Nikolenko10
LSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113LSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 17:55M. Treschetka1.731112123A. Nikolenko2.00910100LSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113LSep 2 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.80911761Y. Melnyk1.9111211113LSep 2 · 12:25A. Nikolenko1.73171191142M. Dunas2.00198118113WAug 27 · 11:25A. Nikolenko1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.005540
O. Maksymkiv10
LSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113WSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861WSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113LSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113
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