TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066690
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141171618114––
Anatolii Nikolenko
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:29 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Maslovskyi to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Anatolii Nikolenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 16-18
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 82 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Maslovskyi at 70.4%
82 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 82–28 Anatolii Nikolenko Anatolii Nikolenko has won 28 of their 110 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:29What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Maslovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
82-28 in 110
Maslovskyi
Correct
gap of 54 in 110, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1040 vs Nikolenko 998
Maslovskyi
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 20% vs Nikolenko 0%
Maslovskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 30% vs Nikolenko 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi -1 · Nikolenko -5
Nikolenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Maslovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nikolenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 1.36 / Nikolenko 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Maslovskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13066690
Maslovskyi1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 114 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it91% 60 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it78% 81 of 104
Nikolenko3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 38 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi9wins
AwayNikolenko1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMaslovskyi leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyi85.7%6 of 7
AwayNikolenko0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi7Nikolenko3n = 10Maslovskyi took 7 of 10
S2Maslovskyi8Nikolenko2n = 10Maslovskyi took 8 of 10
S3Maslovskyi7Nikolenko3n = 10Maslovskyi took 7 of 10
S4Maslovskyi5Nikolenko2n = 7Maslovskyi took 5 of 7
S5Maslovskyi2Nikolenko1n = 3Maslovskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiNikolenkoM − NBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.032.6+9.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiNikolenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime435 / 862 vs 330 / 69450.5%47.6%435 / 862 vs 330 / 694Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaslovskyiMaslovskyi 1.36/Nikolenko 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Maslovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 16:55O. Maslovskyi—131111113A. Nikolenko—155331
WAug 19 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi—11118113A. Nikolenko—161131
WJun 22 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi—1113113A. Nikolenko—61140
WJun 21 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi—511119113A. Nikolenko—11641182
WJun 20 · 09:29O. Maslovskyi—1113113A. Nikolenko—81170
WJun 20 · 08:25O. Maslovskyi—101111113A. Nikolenko—129931
WJun 15 · 09:25O. Maslovskyi—113119113A. Nikolenko—61191172
WJun 14 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi—11118153A. Nikolenko—7811131
LJun 10 · 17:29O. Maslovskyi—12891182A. Nikolenko—1011117113
WJun 10 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi—1111133A. Nikolenko—69110
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172LAug 31 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi4.33149881O. Maksymkiv1.20121111113
A. Nikolenko10
WSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113LSep 2 · 17:55M. Treschetka1.731112123A. Nikolenko2.00910100LSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113LSep 2 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.80911761Y. Melnyk1.9111211113LSep 2 · 12:25A. Nikolenko1.73171191142M. Dunas2.00198118113WAug 27 · 11:25A. Nikolenko1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.005540
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