TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13048301
Played Aug 31Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
4.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1412911811811––
Oleh Maksymkiv
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:34 and never touched — 84.6% is still 84.6%
Graded at full timeOleh Maksymkiv to win
84.6%
84.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Oleh Maksymkiv below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 84 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Oleh Maksymkiv at 84.6%
84 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 6–51 Oleh Maksymkiv Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 6 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:34What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Maksymkiv
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-51 in 57
Maksymkiv
Correct
gap of 45 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1092 vs Maksymkiv 1222
Maksymkiv
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 40% vs Maksymkiv 60%
Maksymkiv
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 30% vs Maksymkiv 70%
Maksymkiv
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi -1 · Maksymkiv +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Maksymkiv)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymkiv form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 4.33 / Maksymkiv 1.20
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Maksymkiv)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13048301
Maslovskyi4.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 72 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 87
Maksymkiv1.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 120 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it94% 58 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it83% 85 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi0wins
AwayMaksymkiv10wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMaksymkiv leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMaksymkiv100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi2Maksymkiv8n = 10Maksymkiv took 8 of 10
S2Maslovskyi2Maksymkiv8n = 10Maksymkiv took 8 of 10
S3Maslovskyi3Maksymkiv7n = 10Maksymkiv took 7 of 10
S4Maslovskyi3Maksymkiv4n = 7Maksymkiv took 4 of 7
S5Maslovskyi0Maksymkiv3n = 3Maksymkiv took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiMaksymkivMaslovskyi − MaksymkivBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.840.4−8.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiMaksymkivBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 861 vs 367 / 70150.8%52.4%437 / 861 vs 367 / 701Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksymkivMaslovskyi 4.33/Maksymkiv 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.6%
Maksymkiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maksymkiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi—91141172O. Maksymkiv—117115113
LAug 27 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi—15761162O. Maksymkiv—1311116113
LAug 17 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi—951151O. Maksymkiv—11114113
LAug 14 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi—117861O. Maksymkiv—81111113
LAug 13 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi—811671O. Maksymkiv—11711113
LAug 1 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi—791141O. Maksymkiv—11116113
LJul 30 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi—21260O. Maksymkiv—1114113
LJul 29 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi—4890O. Maksymkiv—1111113
LJul 27 · 07:25O. Maslovskyi—38110O. Maksymkiv—1111133
LJul 26 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi—75111192O. Maksymkiv—111149113
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172
O. Maksymkiv10
WSep 7 · 08:55H. Oliynyk1.289880O. Maksymkiv3.501111113LSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113WSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861WSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113WSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113
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