TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089007
Played Sep 7Finished
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811811––––
Oleh Maksymkiv
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:44 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeHryhoriy Oliynyk to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Oleh Maksymkiv below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 58 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Hryhoriy Oliynyk at 76.6%
58 points played in total.
H2H Hryhoriy Oliynyk 10–1 Oleh Maksymkiv Oleh Maksymkiv has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:44What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Oliynyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-1 in 11
Oliynyk
Wrong
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oliynyk 1291 vs Maksymkiv 1238
Oliynyk
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oliynyk 60% vs Maksymkiv 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oliynyk 70% vs Maksymkiv 50%
Oliynyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oliynyk +2 · Maksymkiv -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Oliynyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymkiv form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOliynyk 1.28 / Maksymkiv 3.50
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Oliynyk)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13089007
Oliynyk1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 26 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it74% 20 of 27
Maksymkiv3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 63 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOliynyk9wins
AwayMaksymkiv1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderOliynyk leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOliynyk100%7 of 7
AwayMaksymkiv33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oliynyk7Maksymkiv3n = 10Oliynyk took 7 of 10
S2Oliynyk8Maksymkiv2n = 10Oliynyk took 8 of 10
S3Oliynyk9Maksymkiv1n = 10Oliynyk took 9 of 10
S4Oliynyk4Maksymkiv1n = 5Oliynyk took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOliynykMaksymkivO − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.427.0+11.4per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOliynykMaksymkivBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 217 vs 377 / 72051.2%52.4%111 / 217 vs 377 / 720Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OliynykOliynyk 1.28/Maksymkiv 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.6%
Oliynyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Maksymkiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 12:55H. Oliynyk—41111113O. Maksymkiv—113681
WAug 13 · 13:55H. Oliynyk—1111113O. Maksymkiv—9840
WJul 15 · 08:25H. Oliynyk—1111113O. Maksymkiv—7330
WJul 1 · 05:55H. Oliynyk—651111113O. Maksymkiv—11117482
LJun 24 · 04:25H. Oliynyk—711117142O. Maksymkiv—115711163
WJun 17 · 08:55H. Oliynyk—1311113O. Maksymkiv—11550
WJun 5 · 06:55H. Oliynyk—1111113O. Maksymkiv—5840
WApr 23 · 15:55H. Oliynyk—111111113O. Maksymkiv—481351
WApr 2 · 13:55H. Oliynyk—1111113O. Maksymkiv—8670
WDec 3 · 14:25H. Oliynyk—11911113O. Maksymkiv—211781
H. Oliynyk10
WSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772LSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113LAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113WAug 27 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi3.001129101H. Oliynyk1.3671111123WAug 27 · 15:25H. Oliynyk1.221111113M. Treschetka4.006460WAug 27 · 14:25M. Dunas2.384111091H. Oliynyk1.5311912113WAug 27 · 12:55H. Oliynyk1.2841111113O. Maksymkiv3.50113681LAug 13 · 18:55H. Oliynyk1.53981191D. Kasian2.3811117113WAug 13 · 16:55M. Treschetka4.3311651142H. Oliynyk1.20511115113
O. Maksymkiv10
LSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113WSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861WSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113LSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LAug 27 · 12:55H. Oliynyk1.2841111113O. Maksymkiv3.50113681
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