TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12415508
Played Aug 13Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115611511115411
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:24 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeHryhoriy Oliynyk to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Hryhoriy Oliynyk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 80 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Hryhoriy Oliynyk at 75.3%
80 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 2–9 Hryhoriy Oliynyk Mykolay Treschetka has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:24What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Oliynyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-9 in 11
Oliynyk
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1228 vs Oliynyk 1280
Oliynyk
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 60% vs Oliynyk 40%
Treschetka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 50% vs Oliynyk 30%
Treschetka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka +1 · Oliynyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Oliynyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oliynyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 4.33 / Oliynyk 1.20
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Oliynyk)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12415508
Treschetka4.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 89 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back18% 19 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 68
Oliynyk1.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 23 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it73% 19 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTreschetka2wins
AwayOliynyk8wins
Oliynyk leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetkan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayOliynyk100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka2Oliynyk8n = 10Oliynyk took 8 of 10
S2Treschetka3Oliynyk7n = 10Oliynyk took 7 of 10
S3Treschetka2Oliynyk8n = 10Oliynyk took 8 of 10
S4Treschetka1Oliynyk2n = 3Oliynyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricTreschetkaOliynykT − OBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match26.534.9−8.4per matchSweeps16−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaOliynykBasisWin rate · lifetime479 / 951 vs 112 / 22150.4%50.7%479 / 951 vs 112 / 221Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OliynykTreschetka 4.33/Oliynyk 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Oliynyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Oliynyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 23 · 13:55M. Treschetka—9510H. Oliynyk—1111113
LFeb 27 · 09:25M. Treschetka—11190H. Oliynyk—1311113
LJan 22 · 15:25M. Treschetka—811981H. Oliynyk—11711113
LOct 31 · 14:25M. Treschetka—81370H. Oliynyk—1115113
LOct 9 · 18:55M. Treschetka—8560H. Oliynyk—1111113
WOct 1 · 18:25M. Treschetka—1111113H. Oliynyk—8850
LJul 22 · 12:25M. Treschetka—5940H. Oliynyk—1111113
LJul 3 · 18:55M. Treschetka—2190H. Oliynyk—1111113
WJun 19 · 13:55M. Treschetka—11216123H. Oliynyk—21911101
LMay 15 · 15:25M. Treschetka—991141H. Oliynyk—11119113
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520WSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183
H. Oliynyk10
WSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772LSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113LAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113WAug 27 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi3.001129101H. Oliynyk1.3671111123WAug 27 · 15:25H. Oliynyk1.221111113M. Treschetka4.006460WAug 27 · 14:25M. Dunas2.384111091H. Oliynyk1.5311912113WAug 27 · 12:55H. Oliynyk1.2841111113O. Maksymkiv3.50113681LAug 13 · 18:55H. Oliynyk1.53981191D. Kasian2.3811117113WAug 13 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi2.635660H. Oliynyk1.441111113
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