TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12415543
Played Aug 13Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611611––––
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:28 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeHryhoriy Oliynyk to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Hryhoriy Oliynyk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 50 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Hryhoriy Oliynyk at 67.5%
50 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 5–11 Hryhoriy Oliynyk Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:28What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Oliynyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-11 in 16
Oliynyk
Correct
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1221 vs Oliynyk 1269
Oliynyk
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 0% vs Oliynyk 20%
Oliynyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 30% vs Oliynyk 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi -5 · Oliynyk +1
Maslovskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Oliynyk) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oliynyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 2.63 / Oliynyk 1.44
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Oliynyk)-8.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12415543
Maslovskyi2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 69 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back22% 29 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back9% 7 of 77
Oliynyk1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 23 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it73% 19 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi4wins
AwayOliynyk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOliynyk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyi100%3 of 3
AwayOliynyk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi3Oliynyk7n = 10Oliynyk took 7 of 10
S2Maslovskyi5Oliynyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Maslovskyi5Oliynyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Maslovskyi5Oliynyk3n = 8Maslovskyi took 5 of 8
S5Maslovskyi1Oliynyk2n = 3Oliynyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiOliynykM − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.039.4−2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiOliynykBasisWin rate · lifetime445 / 849 vs 111 / 22052.4%50.5%445 / 849 vs 111 / 220Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OliynykMaslovskyi 2.63/Oliynyk 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Oliynyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Oliynyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 1 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi—11411143H. Oliynyk—7116121
LApr 2 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi—5114101H. Oliynyk—11711123
LFeb 27 · 07:25O. Maslovskyi—41040H. Oliynyk—1112113
WNov 24 · 17:25O. Maslovskyi—911411113H. Oliynyk—11811862
LNov 3 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi—41141242H. Oliynyk—1191110113
LOct 9 · 15:25O. Maslovskyi—981191H. Oliynyk—11118113
LSep 11 · 14:25O. Maslovskyi—913981H. Oliynyk—111111113
LAug 28 · 14:25O. Maslovskyi—97111192H. Oliynyk—111146113
WAug 21 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi—1111113H. Oliynyk—7490
WAug 14 · 15:25O. Maslovskyi—15911103H. Oliynyk—1311961
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172
H. Oliynyk10
WSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772LSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113LAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113WAug 27 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi3.001129101H. Oliynyk1.3671111123WAug 27 · 15:25H. Oliynyk1.221111113M. Treschetka4.006460WAug 27 · 14:25M. Dunas2.384111091H. Oliynyk1.5311912113WAug 27 · 12:55H. Oliynyk1.2841111113O. Maksymkiv3.50113681LAug 13 · 18:55H. Oliynyk1.53981191D. Kasian2.3811117113WAug 13 · 16:55M. Treschetka4.3311651142H. Oliynyk1.20511115113
Upcoming Matches
O. Maslovskyi
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H. Oliynyk
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