TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061238
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
211411119811––
Mykhailo Dunas
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:13 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Dunas to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Mykhailo Dunas below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 67 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Mykhailo Dunas at 54.9%
67 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 2–6 Mykhailo Dunas Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dunas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Dunas
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1040 vs Dunas 1109
Dunas
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 20% vs Dunas 40%
Dunas
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 30% vs Dunas 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi +1 · Dunas +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Dunas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dunas form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 2.00 / Dunas 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Dunas)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13061238
Maslovskyi2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 73 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back21% 31 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 87
Dunas1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite39% won 5 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it57% 4 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi2wins
AwayDunas6wins
1 of 8 to a deciderDunas leads 6–2, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayDunas85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi1Dunas7n = 8Dunas took 7 of 8
S2Maslovskyi4Dunas4n = 8split evenly
S3Maslovskyi4Dunas4n = 8split evenly
S4Maslovskyi3Dunas4n = 7Dunas took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away450%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiDunasM − DBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set17−6of 8Avg pointsper match33.439.6−6.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiDunasBasisWin rate · lifetime435 / 862 vs 18 / 4850.5%37.5%435 / 862 vs 18 / 48Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DunasMaslovskyi 2.00/Dunas 1.73
Hit
What we said
55.3%
Dunas · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dunas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi—241181M. Dunas—11119113
WAug 31 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi—101411123M. Dunas—12127101
LAug 30 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi—712981M. Dunas—111011113
LAug 28 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi—7115101M. Dunas—11711123
LAug 27 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi—51161142M. Dunas—119117113
WAug 20 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi—11811113M. Dunas—411631
LAug 19 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi—571111M. Dunas—11119113
LAug 14 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi—85110M. Dunas—1111133
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172LAug 31 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi4.33149881O. Maksymkiv1.20121111113
M. Dunas10
LSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113LSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113WSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 05:55M. Dunas3.40971541O. Maksymkiv1.30111113113LSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113WSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070LSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk1.801111113M. Dunas1.916860LSep 2 · 13:25M. Treschetka1.8351111113M. Dunas1.83119421WSep 2 · 12:25A. Nikolenko1.73171191142M. Dunas2.00198118113LAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192
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