TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066790
Played Sep 3Finished
Mykhailo Dunas
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119811711811––
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Dunas to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingMykhailo Dunas above · Oleksandr Maslovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Mykhailo Dunas at 54.9%
76 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Dunas 6–2 Oleksandr Maslovskyi Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:58What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Dunas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Dunas
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dunas 1105 vs Maslovskyi 1060
Dunas
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dunas 60% vs Maslovskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dunas 40% vs Maslovskyi 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dunas +1 · Maslovskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Dunas) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maslovskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDunas 1.57 / Maslovskyi 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Dunas)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13066790
Dunas1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 7 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it67% 6 of 9
Maslovskyi2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 73 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back21% 31 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeDunas6wins
AwayMaslovskyi2wins
1 of 8 to a deciderDunas leads 6–2, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDunas85.7%6 of 7
AwayMaslovskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dunas7Maslovskyi1n = 8Dunas took 7 of 8
S2Dunas4Maslovskyi4n = 8split evenly
S3Dunas4Maslovskyi4n = 8split evenly
S4Dunas4Maslovskyi3n = 7Dunas took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home450%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricDunasMaslovskyiD − MBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set71+6of 8Avg pointsper match39.633.4+6.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDunasMaslovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 51 vs 436 / 86237.3%50.6%19 / 51 vs 436 / 862Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DunasDunas 1.57/Maslovskyi 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Dunas · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 2 · 18:55M. Dunas—11119113O. Maslovskyi—241181
LAug 31 · 07:55M. Dunas—12127101O. Maslovskyi—101411123
WAug 30 · 11:55M. Dunas—111011113O. Maslovskyi—712981
WAug 28 · 11:25M. Dunas—11711123O. Maslovskyi—7115101
WAug 27 · 17:55M. Dunas—119117113O. Maslovskyi—51161142
LAug 20 · 10:55M. Dunas—411631O. Maslovskyi—11811113
WAug 19 · 11:55M. Dunas—11119113O. Maslovskyi—571111
WAug 14 · 10:55M. Dunas—1111133O. Maslovskyi—85110
M. Dunas10
LSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113WSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 05:55M. Dunas3.40971541O. Maksymkiv1.30111113113LSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113WSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070LSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk1.801111113M. Dunas1.916860LSep 2 · 13:25M. Treschetka1.8351111113M. Dunas1.83119421WSep 2 · 12:25A. Nikolenko1.73171191142M. Dunas2.00198118113LAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172LAug 31 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi4.33149881O. Maksymkiv1.20121111113
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