TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060669
Played Sep 2Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511115114117––
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Maslovskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Oleksandr Maslovskyi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 65 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Maslovskyi at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 42–90 Oleksandr Maslovskyi Mykolay Treschetka has won 42 of their 132 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:25What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Maslovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-90 in 132
Maslovskyi
Wrong
gap of 48 in 132, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1197 vs Maslovskyi 1047
Treschetka
Correct
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 80% vs Maslovskyi 20%
Treschetka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 60% vs Maslovskyi 30%
Treschetka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka +2 · Maslovskyi -4
Maslovskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maslovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maslovskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 2.20 / Maslovskyi 1.61
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Maslovskyi)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13060669
Treschetka2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 93 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back23% 27 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 73
Maslovskyi1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 113 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it91% 60 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTreschetka3wins
AwayMaslovskyi7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMaslovskyi leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetka33.3%1 of 3
AwayMaslovskyi71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka3Maslovskyi7n = 10Maslovskyi took 7 of 10
S2Treschetka5Maslovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Treschetka5Maslovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Treschetka2Maslovskyi7n = 9Maslovskyi took 7 of 9
S5Treschetka2Maslovskyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTreschetkaMaslovskyiT − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.342.5−6.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaMaslovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 953 vs 436 / 86350.7%50.5%483 / 953 vs 436 / 863Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaslovskyiTreschetka 2.20/Maslovskyi 1.61
Miss
What we said
54%
Maslovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Treschetka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 06:55M. Treschetka—13461152O. Maslovskyi—1111119113
LAug 30 · 16:25M. Treschetka—5111261O. Maslovskyi—11814103
LAug 28 · 07:25M. Treschetka—1191181O. Maslovskyi—13113113
LAug 27 · 13:25M. Treschetka—13119812O. Maslovskyi—1181111113
WAug 24 · 07:25M. Treschetka—118116113O. Maslovskyi—71181182
LAug 20 · 08:55M. Treschetka—411591O. Maslovskyi—11911113
LAug 17 · 08:55M. Treschetka—931161O. Maslovskyi—11119113
WAug 16 · 14:55M. Treschetka—111111103O. Maslovskyi—135881
WAug 14 · 08:55M. Treschetka—511118113O. Maslovskyi—11581182
LAug 13 · 17:55M. Treschetka—8430O. Maslovskyi—1111113
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520WSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172LAug 31 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi4.33149881O. Maksymkiv1.20121111113
Upcoming Matches
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O. Maslovskyi
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