TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084287
Played Sep 6Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116911118116––
Oleh Maksymkiv
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 70.0% is still 70.0%
Graded at full timeMykolay Treschetka to win
70.0%
70.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Oleh Maksymkiv below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Mykolay Treschetka at 70.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 60–30 Oleh Maksymkiv Oleh Maksymkiv has won 30 of their 90 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:48What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Treschetka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
60-30 in 90
Treschetka
Correct
gap of 30 in 90, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1175 vs Maksymkiv 1201
Maksymkiv
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 40% vs Maksymkiv 60%
Maksymkiv
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 70% vs Maksymkiv 50%
Treschetka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka -1 · Maksymkiv +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Treschetka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymkiv form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 1.36 / Maksymkiv 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Treschetka)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084287
Treschetka1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 82 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it78% 56 of 72
Maksymkiv3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 62 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTreschetka9wins
AwayMaksymkiv1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTreschetka leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetka100%7 of 7
AwayMaksymkiv33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka7Maksymkiv3n = 10Treschetka took 7 of 10
S2Treschetka6Maksymkiv4n = 10Treschetka took 6 of 10
S3Treschetka10Maksymkiv0n = 10Treschetka took 10 of 10
S4Treschetka5Maksymkiv1n = 6Treschetka took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTreschetkaMaksymkivT − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.627.2+12.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaMaksymkivBasisWin rate · lifetime476 / 945 vs 373 / 71350.4%52.3%476 / 945 vs 373 / 713Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TreschetkaTreschetka 1.36/Maksymkiv 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70%
Treschetka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Treschetka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 04:55M. Treschetka—1111113O. Maksymkiv—5330
WAug 31 · 08:25M. Treschetka—11811113O. Maksymkiv—811651
WAug 30 · 12:55M. Treschetka—11611113O. Maksymkiv—811291
WAug 28 · 04:25M. Treschetka—1111113O. Maksymkiv—8320
WAug 27 · 18:55M. Treschetka—1111113O. Maksymkiv—4950
WAug 23 · 14:25M. Treschetka—1112113O. Maksymkiv—71030
WAug 19 · 05:55M. Treschetka—11711113O. Maksymkiv—411961
WAug 17 · 07:25M. Treschetka—91111113O. Maksymkiv—116561
LAug 14 · 05:55M. Treschetka—99131192O. Maksymkiv—1111112113
WAug 13 · 15:55M. Treschetka—1111116113O. Maksymkiv—13961172
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520WSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183LSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 04:55M. Treschetka1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.755330
O. Maksymkiv10
LSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113WSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113LSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 05:55M. Dunas3.40971541O. Maksymkiv1.30111113113LSep 3 · 04:55M. Treschetka1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.755330
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