TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066913
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleh Maksymkiv
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117115911911911
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeOleh Maksymkiv to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Maksymkiv above · Viktor Ivanytskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 94 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Oleh Maksymkiv at 67.3%
94 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Maksymkiv 1–1 Viktor Ivanytskyi Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:29What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Maksymkiv
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Maksymkiv 1210 vs Ivanytskyi 1100
Maksymkiv
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksymkiv 60% vs Ivanytskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksymkiv 60% vs Ivanytskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksymkiv +2 · Ivanytskyi +3
Ivanytskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Maksymkiv)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivanytskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksymkiv 1.44 / Ivanytskyi 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Maksymkiv)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13066913
Maksymkiv1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 124 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it83% 86 of 104
Ivanytskyi2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 25 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMaksymkiv1wins
AwayIvanytskyi1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMaksymkivIvanytskyiM − IBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match45.538.5+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksymkivIvanytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime372 / 711 vs 102 / 16852.3%60.7%372 / 711 vs 102 / 168Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksymkivMaksymkiv 1.44/Ivanytskyi 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Maksymkiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ivanytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv—11119992V. Ivanytskyi—751111113
WJul 30 · 11:25O. Maksymkiv—11911113V. Ivanytskyi—411981
O. Maksymkiv10
WSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861WSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113LSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141WSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 05:55M. Dunas3.40971541O. Maksymkiv1.30111113113
V. Ivanytskyi10
LSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183WSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113WSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113LSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070WSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113WSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 11:55M. Treschetka1.611111113V. Ivanytskyi2.209930WAug 30 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113Y. Shcherbak2.638980
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