TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061184
Played Sep 2Finished
Yuriy Melnyk
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118117––––
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:03 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeYuriy Melnyk to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYuriy Melnyk above · Viktor Ivanytskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Yuriy Melnyk at 54.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Yuriy Melnyk 6–4 Viktor Ivanytskyi Viktor Ivanytskyi has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Melnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Melnyk
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnyk 1110 vs Ivanytskyi 1040
Melnyk
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnyk 80% vs Ivanytskyi 60%
Melnyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnyk 80% vs Ivanytskyi 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnyk -1 · Ivanytskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Melnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnyk 1.73 / Ivanytskyi 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Melnyk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13061184
Melnyk1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 30 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it82% 22 of 27
Ivanytskyi2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 24 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back28% 10 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnyk6wins
AwayIvanytskyi4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMelnyk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnyk83.3%5 of 6
AwayIvanytskyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnyk6Ivanytskyi4n = 10Melnyk took 6 of 10
S2Melnyk8Ivanytskyi2n = 10Melnyk took 8 of 10
S3Melnyk5Ivanytskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Melnyk5Ivanytskyi4n = 9Melnyk took 5 of 9
S5Melnyk1Ivanytskyi3n = 4Ivanytskyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnykIvanytskyiM − IBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.037.4+5.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnykIvanytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 216 vs 98 / 16453.7%59.8%116 / 216 vs 98 / 164Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelnykMelnyk 1.73/Ivanytskyi 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Melnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Melnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk—1111113V. Ivanytskyi—6870
WJul 16 · 06:55Y. Melnyk—111111113V. Ivanytskyi—441381
WJun 24 · 18:55Y. Melnyk—1111813113V. Ivanytskyi—59111582
WJun 24 · 17:09Y. Melnyk—11115113V. Ivanytskyi—761191
WJun 6 · 10:55Y. Melnyk—11811113V. Ivanytskyi—511791
LJun 5 · 17:25Y. Melnyk—121169112V. Ivanytskyi—1041111133
LMay 30 · 06:55Y. Melnyk—81011101V. Ivanytskyi—11123123
LMay 8 · 12:55Y. Melnyk—1111118102V. Ivanytskyi—135111123
LApr 29 · 12:55Y. Melnyk—81151172V. Ivanytskyi—119113113
WMar 11 · 14:55Y. Melnyk—51211113V. Ivanytskyi—1110881
Y. Melnyk10
LSep 2 · 16:25M. Treschetka1.401111113Y. Melnyk2.756650WSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk1.801111113M. Dunas1.916860WSep 2 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.80911761Y. Melnyk1.9111211113WSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172WAug 29 · 17:55Y. Melnyk1.251111118123Y. Shcherbak3.75136711102WAug 29 · 16:25Y. Melnyk1.671112113P. Chyzh2.1021070WAug 29 · 14:55Y. Melnyk1.171181211113V. Sydorchuk4.50131110732WAug 29 · 13:25Y. Melnyk1.2261111113P. Melnichuk4.00114771WAug 29 · 11:55Y. Melnyk1.171111113O. Bolnyh4.507870LJul 27 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi1.441111113Y. Melnyk2.634350
V. Ivanytskyi10
LSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183WSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113WSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113LSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070WSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113WSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 11:55M. Treschetka1.611111113V. Ivanytskyi2.209930WAug 30 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113Y. Shcherbak2.638980
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