TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037789
Played Aug 29Finished
Yuriy Melnyk
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611114117117––
Pavlo Melnichuk
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:26 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeYuriy Melnyk to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYuriy Melnyk above · Pavlo Melnichuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 68 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Yuriy Melnyk at 76.6%
68 points played in total.
H2H Yuriy Melnyk 4–0 Pavlo Melnichuk Pavlo Melnichuk has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:26What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Melnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Melnyk
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnyk 1070 vs Melnichuk 841
Melnyk
Correct
both rated, 229 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnyk 20% vs Melnichuk 40%
Melnichuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnyk 50% vs Melnichuk 30%
Melnyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnyk +1 · Melnichuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Melnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnichuk form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnyk 1.22 / Melnichuk 4.00
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Melnyk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13037789
Melnyk1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 26 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Melnichuk4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 30 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back20% 10 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMelnyk4wins
AwayMelnichuk0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderMelnyk leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnyk100%3 of 3
AwayMelnichukn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnyk3Melnichuk1n = 4Melnyk took 3 of 4
S2Melnyk2Melnichuk2n = 4split evenly
S3Melnyk3Melnichuk1n = 4Melnyk took 3 of 4
S4Melnyk3Melnichuk0n = 3Melnyk took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMelnykMelnichukMelnyk − MelnichukBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match38.829.8+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnykMelnichukBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 216 vs 98 / 18153.2%54.1%115 / 216 vs 98 / 181Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelnykMelnyk 1.22/Melnichuk 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Melnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Melnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 29 · 13:25Y. Melnyk—61111113P. Melnichuk—114771
WJun 24 · 13:55Y. Melnyk—113511113P. Melnichuk—41111742
WMay 12 · 12:55Y. Melnyk—11911113P. Melnichuk—911541
WMay 6 · 04:35Y. Melnyk—1111113P. Melnichuk—8880
Y. Melnyk10
WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 16:25M. Treschetka1.401111113Y. Melnyk2.756650WSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk1.801111113M. Dunas1.916860WSep 2 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.80911761Y. Melnyk1.9111211113WSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172WAug 29 · 17:55Y. Melnyk1.251111118123Y. Shcherbak3.75136711102WAug 29 · 16:25Y. Melnyk1.671112113P. Chyzh2.1021070WAug 29 · 14:55Y. Melnyk1.171181211113V. Sydorchuk4.50131110732WAug 29 · 11:55Y. Melnyk1.171111113O. Bolnyh4.507870LJul 27 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi1.441111113Y. Melnyk2.634350
P. Melnichuk10
WAug 30 · 10:55V. Sydorchuk2.2596131182P. Melnichuk1.571111118113WAug 30 · 09:55Y. Shcherbak1.36971191P. Melnichuk3.0011115113WAug 30 · 08:25P. Chyzh1.3312681182P. Melnichuk3.251011119113LAug 30 · 06:25V. Ivanytskyi1.17111011113P. Melnichuk4.50812861WAug 30 · 04:25O. Bolnyh1.5711711352P. Melnichuk2.25611911113WAug 29 · 18:55V. Sydorchuk2.10118771P. Melnichuk1.6771111113LAug 29 · 17:25P. Melnichuk2.0010670O. Bolnyh1.73121183LAug 29 · 15:25P. Chyzh1.40101111113P. Melnichuk2.75129891LAug 29 · 12:25Y. Shcherbak1.5311611113P. Melnichuk2.38911171WAug 27 · 10:25P. Melnichuk2.63141111113Y. Shcherbak1.44164781
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