TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037520
Played Aug 29Finished
Yuriy Melnyk
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11138111210117113
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:57 and never touched — 82.9% is still 82.9%
Graded at full timeYuriy Melnyk to win
82.9%
82.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYuriy Melnyk above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 97 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Yuriy Melnyk at 82.9%
97 points played in total.
H2H Yuriy Melnyk 13–1 Viktor Sydorchuk Viktor Sydorchuk has won 1 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Melnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-1 in 14
Melnyk
Correct
gap of 12 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnyk 1074 vs Sydorchuk 794
Melnyk
Correct
both rated, 280 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnyk 40% vs Sydorchuk 60%
Sydorchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnyk 50% vs Sydorchuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnyk +2 · Sydorchuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Melnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnyk 1.17 / Sydorchuk 4.50
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Melnyk)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13037520
Melnyk1.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 26 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Sydorchuk4.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 47 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnyk9wins
AwaySydorchuk1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMelnyk leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnyk100%6 of 6
AwaySydorchuk25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnyk6Sydorchuk4n = 10Melnyk took 6 of 10
S2Melnyk7Sydorchuk3n = 10Melnyk took 7 of 10
S3Melnyk8Sydorchuk2n = 10Melnyk took 8 of 10
S4Melnyk7Sydorchuk1n = 8Melnyk took 7 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnykSydorchukM − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.632.7+7.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnykSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 213 vs 132 / 31152.6%42.4%112 / 213 vs 132 / 311Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelnykMelnyk 1.17/Sydorchuk 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Melnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Melnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 6 · 05:25Y. Melnyk—71111113V. Sydorchuk—114981
WMay 12 · 14:25Y. Melnyk—11811113V. Sydorchuk—711671
LMay 6 · 09:05Y. Melnyk—49111182V. Sydorchuk—111167113
WJan 24 · 11:55Y. Melnyk—71111113V. Sydorchuk—118771
WJan 23 · 19:25Y. Melnyk—12113113V. Sydorchuk—1081131
WJan 2 · 08:25Y. Melnyk—101114113V. Sydorchuk—1291261
WDec 24 · 07:05Y. Melnyk—11101111113V. Sydorchuk—61281342
WNov 21 · 08:55Y. Melnyk—1111113V. Sydorchuk—7840
WNov 20 · 16:25Y. Melnyk—1111113V. Sydorchuk—3960
WNov 13 · 19:55Y. Melnyk—11116113V. Sydorchuk—971171
Y. Melnyk10
WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 16:25M. Treschetka1.401111113Y. Melnyk2.756650WSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk1.801111113M. Dunas1.916860WSep 2 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.80911761Y. Melnyk1.9111211113WSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172WAug 29 · 17:55Y. Melnyk1.251111118123Y. Shcherbak3.75136711102WAug 29 · 16:25Y. Melnyk1.671112113P. Chyzh2.1021070WAug 29 · 13:25Y. Melnyk1.2261111113P. Melnichuk4.00114771WAug 29 · 11:55Y. Melnyk1.171111113O. Bolnyh4.507870LJul 27 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi1.441111113Y. Melnyk2.634350
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172LAug 30 · 10:55V. Sydorchuk2.2596131182P. Melnichuk1.571111118113
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