TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079202
Played Sep 5Finished
Viktor Sydorchuk
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81117157111131012
Mykhailo Senyk
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Senyk to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Sydorchuk above · Mykhailo Senyk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 17-15
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 105 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Mykhailo Senyk at 57.6%
105 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sydorchuk 20–39 Mykhailo Senyk Viktor Sydorchuk has won 20 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Senyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-39 in 59
Senyk
Correct
gap of 19 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 752 vs Senyk 584
Sydorchuk
Wrong
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 60% vs Senyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Senyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk +3 · Senyk +1
Sydorchuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Senyk) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 2.25 / Senyk 1.57
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Senyk)-3.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13079202
Sydorchuk2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 49 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 42
Senyk1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 71 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it82% 50 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorchuk3wins
AwaySenyk7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSenyk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchuk25%1 of 4
AwaySenyk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk4Senyk6n = 10Senyk took 6 of 10
S2Sydorchuk6Senyk4n = 10Sydorchuk took 6 of 10
S3Sydorchuk1Senyk9n = 10Senyk took 9 of 10
S4Sydorchuk2Senyk5n = 7Senyk took 5 of 7
S5Sydorchuk2Senyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorchukSenykSydorchuk − SenykBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.240.0−3.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukSenykBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 326 vs 140 / 34942.3%40.1%138 / 326 vs 140 / 349Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.434.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SenykSydorchuk 2.25/Senyk 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.7%
Senyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Senyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 10:05V. Sydorchuk—7760M. Senyk—1111113
LAug 18 · 07:55V. Sydorchuk—11136352M. Senyk—7111111113
WAug 17 · 13:25V. Sydorchuk—111159113M. Senyk—99111152
LAug 13 · 07:25V. Sydorchuk—6890M. Senyk—1111113
LAug 12 · 15:25V. Sydorchuk—91190M. Senyk—1113113
LAug 7 · 07:25V. Sydorchuk—8111181M. Senyk—11913113
LAug 6 · 07:55V. Sydorchuk—11134882M. Senyk—6111111113
WAug 5 · 14:55V. Sydorchuk—711811113M. Senyk—11511872
LJul 18 · 05:25V. Sydorchuk—1151081M. Senyk—61112113
WJul 17 · 18:25V. Sydorchuk—81111113M. Senyk—118621
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172LAug 30 · 10:55V. Sydorchuk2.2596131182P. Melnichuk1.571111118113LAug 30 · 08:55O. Bolnyh1.91511911113V. Sydorchuk1.8011911662
M. Senyk10
WSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143LSep 5 · 06:25O. Bolnyh1.4411116113M. Senyk2.63771181LSep 1 · 11:35A. Lanchut4.501114113M. Senyk1.1771280WSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760WSep 1 · 08:05V. Moroz3.40991461M. Senyk1.30111112113LSep 1 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk1.13911116113M. Senyk5.5011961172WSep 1 · 05:05O. Kulbach2.7595111172M. Senyk1.40111197113LAug 18 · 10:55M. Senyk6.506950Y. Shcherbak1.101111113LAug 18 · 08:55P. Melnichuk1.10118179113M. Senyk6.50911151182
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