TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078989
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrii Lanchut
Home
6.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119511611611––
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
1.11
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 87.9% is still 87.9%
Graded at full timeViktor Sydorchuk to win
87.9%
87.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Lanchut above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 70 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Viktor Sydorchuk at 87.9%
70 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lanchut 1–13 Viktor Sydorchuk Andrii Lanchut has won 1 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:50What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Sydorchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-13 in 14
Sydorchuk
Correct
gap of 12 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lanchut 352 vs Sydorchuk 749
Sydorchuk
Correct
both rated, 397 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lanchut 40% vs Sydorchuk 60%
Sydorchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lanchut 20% vs Sydorchuk 40%
Sydorchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lanchut -2 · Sydorchuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Sydorchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanchut 6.00 / Sydorchuk 1.11
Signal prob.12% / 88%
Edge (Sydorchuk)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13078989
Lanchut6.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog10% won 3 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back8% 2 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Sydorchuk1.11
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 49 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it78% 36 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLanchut0wins
AwaySydorchuk10wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSydorchuk leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanchut0%0 of 4
AwaySydorchuk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lanchut4Sydorchuk6n = 10Sydorchuk took 6 of 10
S2Lanchut1Sydorchuk9n = 10Sydorchuk took 9 of 10
S3Lanchut2Sydorchuk8n = 10Sydorchuk took 8 of 10
S4Lanchut2Sydorchuk4n = 6Sydorchuk took 4 of 6
S5Lanchut0Sydorchuk3n = 3Sydorchuk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricLanchutSydorchukL − SBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.041.0−10.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLanchutSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 82 vs 137 / 3259.8%42.2%8 / 82 vs 137 / 325Avg sets wonper match0.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match30.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorchukLanchut 6.00/Sydorchuk 1.11
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.9%
Sydorchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut—11581152V. Sydorchuk—811119113
LAug 13 · 04:25A. Lanchut—711951V. Sydorchuk—11811113
LAug 12 · 17:25A. Lanchut—7890V. Sydorchuk—1111113
LJul 18 · 08:55A. Lanchut—6940V. Sydorchuk—1111113
LJul 17 · 14:25A. Lanchut—119541V. Sydorchuk—71111113
LJul 10 · 07:55A. Lanchut—481181V. Sydorchuk—11118113
LNov 14 · 09:55A. Lanchut—8620V. Sydorchuk—1111113
LOct 22 · 17:25A. Lanchut—111681162V. Sydorchuk—818116113
LOct 22 · 13:55A. Lanchut—111012782V. Sydorchuk—8121011113
LOct 18 · 07:25A. Lanchut—4870V. Sydorchuk—1111113
A. Lanchut10
LSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 08:55M. Kornijchuk1.20681141A. Lanchut4.3311117113LSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WSep 1 · 11:35A. Lanchut4.501114113M. Senyk1.1771280WSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123LSep 1 · 07:35B. Pyrtyk1.1011115113A. Lanchut6.50241161LSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 05:35V. Moroz1.83711118113A. Lanchut1.8311971162LAug 13 · 10:55R. Skoropad1.17117118113A. Lanchut4.5081181192
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172LAug 30 · 10:55V. Sydorchuk2.2596131182P. Melnichuk1.571111118113LAug 30 · 08:55O. Bolnyh1.91511911113V. Sydorchuk1.8011911662
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