TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079017
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleksii Kulbach
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711114411511––
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:59 and never touched — 81.0% is still 81.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Sydorchuk to win
81.0%
81.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Kulbach above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 64 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Viktor Sydorchuk at 81.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Kulbach 8–26 Viktor Sydorchuk Oleksii Kulbach has won 8 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:59What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Sydorchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-26 in 34
Sydorchuk
Correct
gap of 18 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulbach 377 vs Sydorchuk 746
Sydorchuk
Correct
both rated, 370 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulbach 40% vs Sydorchuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulbach 30% vs Sydorchuk 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulbach -2 · Sydorchuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Sydorchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulbach 4.50 / Sydorchuk 1.17
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Sydorchuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13079017
Kulbach4.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog14% won 13 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back8% 5 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Sydorchuk1.17
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 49 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it78% 36 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulbach1wins
AwaySydorchuk9wins
Sydorchuk leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulbachn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySydorchuk87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulbach2Sydorchuk8n = 10Sydorchuk took 8 of 10
S2Kulbach2Sydorchuk8n = 10Sydorchuk took 8 of 10
S3Kulbach3Sydorchuk7n = 10Sydorchuk took 7 of 10
S4Kulbach1Sydorchuk5n = 6Sydorchuk took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulbachSydorchukK − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match29.038.4−9.4per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulbachSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 189 vs 136 / 32422.2%42%42 / 189 vs 136 / 324Avg sets wonper match1.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match33.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorchukKulbach 4.50/Sydorchuk 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81%
Sydorchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach—91111113V. Sydorchuk—118891
LAug 12 · 13:25O. Kulbach—5770V. Sydorchuk—1111113
LAug 7 · 09:25O. Kulbach—7670V. Sydorchuk—1111113
LAug 6 · 04:55O. Kulbach—117281V. Sydorchuk—81111113
LJul 18 · 06:55O. Kulbach—4870V. Sydorchuk—1111113
LJul 17 · 16:25O. Kulbach—71111111V. Sydorchuk—11139133
LJul 9 · 12:55O. Kulbach—1171351V. Sydorchuk—91115113
LJul 1 · 14:55O. Kulbach—7111081V. Sydorchuk—11412113
LJun 19 · 09:25O. Kulbach—1571161V. Sydorchuk—17116113
LJun 18 · 16:25O. Kulbach—3440V. Sydorchuk—1111113
O. Kulbach10
WSep 5 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk1.22211117102O. Kulbach4.00118711123LSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113LSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143WSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 1 · 10:35B. Pyrtyk1.0891111113O. Kulbach7.00117891LSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123WSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 07:05O. Kulbach2.63121166113V. Moroz1.44109111162LSep 1 · 05:05O. Kulbach2.7595111172M. Senyk1.40111197113LAug 12 · 17:55O. Kulbach5.50111575102R. Skoropad1.138131111123
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172LAug 30 · 10:55V. Sydorchuk2.2596131182P. Melnichuk1.571111118113LAug 30 · 08:55O. Bolnyh1.91511911113V. Sydorchuk1.8011911662
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