TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079210
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleksandr Bolnyh
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181193111210––
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Bolnyh to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Bolnyh above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 75 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Oleksandr Bolnyh at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Bolnyh 15–19 Viktor Sydorchuk Oleksandr Bolnyh has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Bolnyh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-19 in 34
Sydorchuk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bolnyh 815 vs Sydorchuk 734
Bolnyh
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bolnyh 100% vs Sydorchuk 60%
Bolnyh
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bolnyh 60% vs Sydorchuk 40%
Bolnyh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bolnyh +5 · Sydorchuk -1
Bolnyh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bolnyh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bolnyh form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBolnyh 1.80 / Sydorchuk 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bolnyh)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13079210
Bolnyh1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 35 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it73% 27 of 37
Sydorchuk1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 49 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBolnyh5wins
AwaySydorchuk5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBolnyh66.7%2 of 3
AwaySydorchuk57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bolnyh3Sydorchuk7n = 10Sydorchuk took 7 of 10
S2Bolnyh3Sydorchuk7n = 10Sydorchuk took 7 of 10
S3Bolnyh3Sydorchuk7n = 10Sydorchuk took 7 of 10
S4Bolnyh7Sydorchuk0n = 7Bolnyh took 7 of 7
S5Bolnyh3Sydorchuk2n = 5Bolnyh took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBolnyhSydorchukB − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.041.7−1.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBolnyhSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 177 vs 138 / 32746.3%42.2%82 / 177 vs 138 / 327Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BolnyhBolnyh 1.80/Sydorchuk 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Bolnyh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bolnyh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 08:55O. Bolnyh—511911113V. Sydorchuk—11911662
LAug 27 · 07:55O. Bolnyh—13781392V. Sydorchuk—11111111113
LAug 26 · 14:55O. Bolnyh—10880V. Sydorchuk—1211113
LAug 13 · 05:55O. Bolnyh—5680V. Sydorchuk—1111113
WAug 12 · 18:55O. Bolnyh—11511163V. Sydorchuk—5119141
LAug 7 · 11:25O. Bolnyh—5990V. Sydorchuk—1111113
WAug 6 · 11:25O. Bolnyh—1011611113V. Sydorchuk—12911792
WAug 5 · 18:55O. Bolnyh—118614113V. Sydorchuk—811111262
WJul 18 · 10:55O. Bolnyh—61111143V. Sydorchuk—1168121
LJul 17 · 12:55O. Bolnyh—129111182V. Sydorchuk—141156113
O. Bolnyh10
WSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113WSep 5 · 07:25M. Kornijchuk1.835670O. Bolnyh1.831111113WSep 5 · 06:25O. Bolnyh1.4411116113M. Senyk2.63771181WSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh3.25117119113P. Chyzh1.3391191132WAug 30 · 08:55O. Bolnyh1.91511911113V. Sydorchuk1.8011911662LAug 30 · 07:25O. Bolnyh4.506970V. Ivanytskyi1.171111113LAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113LAug 30 · 04:25O. Bolnyh1.5711711352P. Melnichuk2.25611911113LAug 29 · 18:25P. Chyzh1.4491111143O. Bolnyh2.631198121
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172LAug 30 · 10:55V. Sydorchuk2.2596131182P. Melnichuk1.571111118113LAug 30 · 08:55O. Bolnyh1.91511911113V. Sydorchuk1.8011911662
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.