TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043737
Played Aug 30Finished
Oleksandr Bolnyh
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511119911116116
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Sydorchuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Bolnyh above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 90 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Viktor Sydorchuk at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Bolnyh 14–19 Viktor Sydorchuk Oleksandr Bolnyh has won 14 of their 33 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:17What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sydorchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-19 in 33
Sydorchuk
Wrong
gap of 5 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bolnyh 735 vs Sydorchuk 829
Sydorchuk
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bolnyh 20% vs Sydorchuk 40%
Sydorchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bolnyh 20% vs Sydorchuk 40%
Sydorchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bolnyh -4 · Sydorchuk -1
Bolnyh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sydorchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBolnyh 1.91 / Sydorchuk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sydorchuk)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13043737
Bolnyh1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 40 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back22% 14 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Sydorchuk1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite69% won 48 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it80% 36 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBolnyh5wins
AwaySydorchuk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBolnyh66.7%2 of 3
AwaySydorchuk57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bolnyh3Sydorchuk7n = 10Sydorchuk took 7 of 10
S2Bolnyh3Sydorchuk7n = 10Sydorchuk took 7 of 10
S3Bolnyh4Sydorchuk6n = 10Sydorchuk took 6 of 10
S4Bolnyh7Sydorchuk0n = 7Bolnyh took 7 of 7
S5Bolnyh2Sydorchuk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBolnyhSydorchukB − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.540.2−0.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBolnyhSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 171 vs 134 / 31744.4%42.3%76 / 171 vs 134 / 317Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorchukBolnyh 1.91/Sydorchuk 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sydorchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bolnyh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 07:55O. Bolnyh—13781392V. Sydorchuk—11111111113
LAug 26 · 14:55O. Bolnyh—10880V. Sydorchuk—1211113
LAug 13 · 05:55O. Bolnyh—5680V. Sydorchuk—1111113
WAug 12 · 18:55O. Bolnyh—11511163V. Sydorchuk—5119141
LAug 7 · 11:25O. Bolnyh—5990V. Sydorchuk—1111113
WAug 6 · 11:25O. Bolnyh—1011611113V. Sydorchuk—12911792
WAug 5 · 18:55O. Bolnyh—118614113V. Sydorchuk—811111262
WJul 18 · 10:55O. Bolnyh—61111143V. Sydorchuk—1168121
LJul 17 · 12:55O. Bolnyh—129111182V. Sydorchuk—141156113
WJul 10 · 05:25O. Bolnyh—91111113V. Sydorchuk—117461
O. Bolnyh10
WSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101WSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113WSep 5 · 07:25M. Kornijchuk1.835670O. Bolnyh1.831111113WSep 5 · 06:25O. Bolnyh1.4411116113M. Senyk2.63771181WSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh3.25117119113P. Chyzh1.3391191132LAug 30 · 07:25O. Bolnyh4.506970V. Ivanytskyi1.171111113LAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113LAug 30 · 04:25O. Bolnyh1.5711711352P. Melnichuk2.25611911113LAug 29 · 18:25P. Chyzh1.4491111143O. Bolnyh2.631198121
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172LAug 30 · 10:55V. Sydorchuk2.2596131182P. Melnichuk1.571111118113
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