TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037709
Played Aug 29Finished
Pavlo Chyzh
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111191181412––
Oleksandr Bolnyh
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Bolnyh to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavlo Chyzh above · Oleksandr Bolnyh below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 85 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Oleksandr Bolnyh at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Chyzh 1–0 Oleksandr Bolnyh Oleksandr Bolnyh has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:34What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Chyzh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chyzh 935 vs Bolnyh 755
Chyzh
Correct
both rated, 180 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chyzh 20% vs Bolnyh 40%
Bolnyh
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chyzh 30% vs Bolnyh 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chyzh -1 · Bolnyh +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Chyzh) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chyzh form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChyzh 1.44 / Bolnyh 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Chyzh)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13037709
Chyzh1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite51% won 30 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it74% 20 of 27
Bolnyh2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 39 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back23% 14 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeChyzh1wins
AwayBolnyh0wins
Chyzh leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricChyzhBolnyhC − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match45.040.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChyzhBolnyhBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 203 vs 76 / 16839.9%45.2%81 / 203 vs 76 / 168Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.336.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChyzhChyzh 1.44/Bolnyh 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Chyzh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chyzh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 29 · 18:25P. Chyzh—91111143O. Bolnyh—1198121
P. Chyzh10
LAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh3.25117119113P. Chyzh1.3391191132WAug 30 · 09:25P. Chyzh2.25713119113V. Ivanytskyi1.57111151192LAug 30 · 08:25P. Chyzh1.3312681182P. Melnichuk3.251011119113LAug 30 · 06:55P. Chyzh1.731111951V. Sydorchuk2.0013911113LAug 30 · 04:55P. Chyzh2.00119591Y. Shcherbak1.7371111113LAug 29 · 16:25Y. Melnyk1.671112113P. Chyzh2.1021070WAug 29 · 15:25P. Chyzh1.40101111113P. Melnichuk2.75129891LAug 29 · 14:25Y. Shcherbak2.101314113P. Chyzh1.67111270LAug 29 · 12:55P. Chyzh1.44881141V. Sydorchuk2.6311115113LAug 11 · 11:25P. Chyzh1.919139101V. Ivanytskyi1.80111111123
O. Bolnyh10
WSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101WSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113WSep 5 · 07:25M. Kornijchuk1.835670O. Bolnyh1.831111113WSep 5 · 06:25O. Bolnyh1.4411116113M. Senyk2.63771181WSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh3.25117119113P. Chyzh1.3391191132WAug 30 · 08:55O. Bolnyh1.91511911113V. Sydorchuk1.8011911662LAug 30 · 07:25O. Bolnyh4.506970V. Ivanytskyi1.171111113LAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113LAug 30 · 04:25O. Bolnyh1.5711711352P. Melnichuk2.25611911113
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