TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12398384
Played Aug 11Finished
Pavlo Chyzh
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91113119111012––
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:13 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeViktor Ivanytskyi to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingPavlo Chyzh above · Viktor Ivanytskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 86 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Viktor Ivanytskyi at 58.5%
86 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Chyzh 0–1 Viktor Ivanytskyi Pavlo Chyzh has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Ivanytskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chyzh 996 vs Ivanytskyi 1030
Ivanytskyi
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chyzh 40% vs Ivanytskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chyzh 40% vs Ivanytskyi 60%
Ivanytskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chyzh -3 · Ivanytskyi +1
Chyzh
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Ivanytskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivanytskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChyzh 1.91 / Ivanytskyi 1.80
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Ivanytskyi)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12398384
Chyzh1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 18 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Ivanytskyi1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 48 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeChyzh0wins
AwayIvanytskyi1wins
Ivanytskyi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricChyzhIvanytskyiC − IBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match41.045.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChyzhIvanytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 197 vs 74 / 12840.1%57.8%79 / 197 vs 74 / 128Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanytskyiChyzh 1.91/Ivanytskyi 1.80
Hit
What we said
58.5%
Ivanytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ivanytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 10 · 12:55P. Chyzh—10811121V. Ivanytskyi—12118143
P. Chyzh10
LAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh3.25117119113P. Chyzh1.3391191132WAug 30 · 09:25P. Chyzh2.25713119113V. Ivanytskyi1.57111151192LAug 30 · 08:25P. Chyzh1.3312681182P. Melnichuk3.251011119113LAug 30 · 06:55P. Chyzh1.731111951V. Sydorchuk2.0013911113LAug 30 · 04:55P. Chyzh2.00119591Y. Shcherbak1.7371111113WAug 29 · 18:25P. Chyzh1.4491111143O. Bolnyh2.631198121LAug 29 · 16:25Y. Melnyk1.671112113P. Chyzh2.1021070WAug 29 · 15:25P. Chyzh1.40101111113P. Melnichuk2.75129891LAug 29 · 14:25Y. Shcherbak2.101314113P. Chyzh1.67111270LAug 29 · 12:55P. Chyzh1.44881141V. Sydorchuk2.6311115113
V. Ivanytskyi10
LSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183WSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113WSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113LSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070WSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113WSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LAug 30 · 09:25P. Chyzh2.25713119113V. Ivanytskyi1.57111151192
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