TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043731
Played Aug 30Finished
Pavlo Chyzh
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113119911511––
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavlo Chyzh to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavlo Chyzh above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 80 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Pavlo Chyzh at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Chyzh 0–2 Viktor Sydorchuk Pavlo Chyzh has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Chyzh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chyzh 893 vs Sydorchuk 785
Chyzh
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chyzh 40% vs Sydorchuk 20%
Chyzh
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chyzh 20% vs Sydorchuk 40%
Sydorchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chyzh -1 · Sydorchuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chyzh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChyzh 1.73 / Sydorchuk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chyzh)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13043731
Chyzh1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite49% won 32 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Sydorchuk2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 50 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back11% 8 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeChyzh0wins
AwaySydorchuk2wins
Sydorchuk leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricChyzhSydorchukC − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match33.541.0−7.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChyzhSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 208 vs 134 / 32039.4%41.9%82 / 208 vs 134 / 320Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChyzhChyzh 1.73/Sydorchuk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chyzh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 30 · 06:55P. Chyzh—1111951V. Sydorchuk—13911113
LAug 29 · 12:55P. Chyzh—881141V. Sydorchuk—11115113
P. Chyzh10
LAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh3.25117119113P. Chyzh1.3391191132WAug 30 · 09:25P. Chyzh2.25713119113V. Ivanytskyi1.57111151192LAug 30 · 08:25P. Chyzh1.3312681182P. Melnichuk3.251011119113LAug 30 · 04:55P. Chyzh2.00119591Y. Shcherbak1.7371111113WAug 29 · 18:25P. Chyzh1.4491111143O. Bolnyh2.631198121LAug 29 · 16:25Y. Melnyk1.671112113P. Chyzh2.1021070WAug 29 · 15:25P. Chyzh1.40101111113P. Melnichuk2.75129891LAug 29 · 14:25Y. Shcherbak2.101314113P. Chyzh1.67111270LAug 29 · 12:55P. Chyzh1.44881141V. Sydorchuk2.6311115113LAug 11 · 11:25P. Chyzh1.919139101V. Ivanytskyi1.80111111123
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172WAug 29 · 12:55P. Chyzh1.44881141V. Sydorchuk2.6311115113
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