TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037782
Played Aug 29Finished
Yuriy Shcherbak
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111412117––––
Pavlo Chyzh
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavlo Chyzh to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYuriy Shcherbak above · Pavlo Chyzh below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 68 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Pavlo Chyzh at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Yuriy Shcherbak 2–0 Pavlo Chyzh Pavlo Chyzh has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:21What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Chyzh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Shcherbak 942 vs Chyzh 966
Chyzh
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shcherbak 40% vs Chyzh 0%
Shcherbak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shcherbak 60% vs Chyzh 30%
Shcherbak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shcherbak +1 · Chyzh -5
Chyzh
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chyzh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chyzh form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShcherbak 2.10 / Chyzh 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chyzh)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13037782
Shcherbak2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 25 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back15% 10 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Chyzh1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 30 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it74% 20 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeShcherbak2wins
AwayChyzh0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderShcherbak leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricShcherbakChyzhS − CBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match48.041.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShcherbakChyzhBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 248 vs 79 / 19954.4%39.7%135 / 248 vs 79 / 199Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.135.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChyzhShcherbak 2.10/Chyzh 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chyzh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Shcherbak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 11 · 09:25Y. Shcherbak—111118113P. Chyzh—952091
WAug 10 · 16:25Y. Shcherbak—116116113P. Chyzh—61171142
Y. Shcherbak10
LAug 30 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113Y. Shcherbak2.638980LAug 30 · 09:55Y. Shcherbak1.36971191P. Melnichuk3.0011115113WAug 30 · 07:55V. Sydorchuk4.00119118112Y. Shcherbak1.22811511133WAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113WAug 30 · 04:55P. Chyzh2.00119591Y. Shcherbak1.7371111113LAug 29 · 17:55Y. Melnyk1.251111118123Y. Shcherbak3.75136711102LAug 29 · 16:55Y. Shcherbak1.17611711112V. Sydorchuk4.50119112133WAug 29 · 15:55Y. Shcherbak1.201111113O. Bolnyh4.335480WAug 29 · 12:25Y. Shcherbak1.5311611113P. Melnichuk2.38911171LAug 27 · 10:25P. Melnichuk2.63141111113Y. Shcherbak1.44164781
P. Chyzh10
LAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh3.25117119113P. Chyzh1.3391191132WAug 30 · 09:25P. Chyzh2.25713119113V. Ivanytskyi1.57111151192LAug 30 · 08:25P. Chyzh1.3312681182P. Melnichuk3.251011119113LAug 30 · 06:55P. Chyzh1.731111951V. Sydorchuk2.0013911113LAug 30 · 04:55P. Chyzh2.00119591Y. Shcherbak1.7371111113WAug 29 · 18:25P. Chyzh1.4491111143O. Bolnyh2.631198121LAug 29 · 16:25Y. Melnyk1.671112113P. Chyzh2.1021070WAug 29 · 15:25P. Chyzh1.40101111113P. Melnichuk2.75129891LAug 29 · 12:55P. Chyzh1.44881141V. Sydorchuk2.6311115113LAug 11 · 11:25P. Chyzh1.919139101V. Ivanytskyi1.80111111123
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