TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043766
Played Aug 30Finished
Viktor Sydorchuk
Home
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1189111158111113
Yuriy Shcherbak
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 82.9% is still 82.9%
Graded at full timeYuriy Shcherbak to win
82.9%
82.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Sydorchuk above · Yuriy Shcherbak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 98 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Yuriy Shcherbak at 82.9%
98 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sydorchuk 5–29 Yuriy Shcherbak Viktor Sydorchuk has won 5 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Shcherbak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-29 in 34
Shcherbak
Correct
gap of 24 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 785 vs Shcherbak 934
Shcherbak
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Shcherbak 60%
Shcherbak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 50% vs Shcherbak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk +1 · Shcherbak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Shcherbak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shcherbak form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 4.00 / Shcherbak 1.22
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Shcherbak)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13043766
Sydorchuk4.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog33% won 50 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back11% 8 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 42
Shcherbak1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite77% won 91 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it98% 51 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it91% 68 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorchuk2wins
AwayShcherbak8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderShcherbak leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchuk66.7%2 of 3
AwayShcherbak100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk3Shcherbak7n = 10Shcherbak took 7 of 10
S2Sydorchuk1Shcherbak9n = 10Shcherbak took 9 of 10
S3Sydorchuk5Shcherbak5n = 10split evenly
S4Sydorchuk0Shcherbak6n = 6Shcherbak took 6 of 6
S5Sydorchuk2Shcherbak1n = 3Sydorchuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorchukShcherbakSydorchuk − ShcherbakBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.639.7−7.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukShcherbakBasisWin rate · lifetime134 / 320 vs 140 / 25741.9%54.5%134 / 320 vs 140 / 257Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.435.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShcherbakSydorchuk 4.00/Shcherbak 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Shcherbak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shcherbak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 07:55V. Sydorchuk—119118112Y. Shcherbak—811511133
WAug 29 · 16:55V. Sydorchuk—119112133Y. Shcherbak—611711112
LAug 27 · 06:55V. Sydorchuk—8780Y. Shcherbak—1111113
LAug 26 · 16:25V. Sydorchuk—971241Y. Shcherbak—111110113
LAug 22 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk—711691Y. Shcherbak—11711113
LAug 21 · 13:25V. Sydorchuk—551171Y. Shcherbak—11117113
WAug 18 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk—118116113Y. Shcherbak—71191182
LAug 17 · 14:55V. Sydorchuk—5750Y. Shcherbak—1111113
LJul 17 · 15:25V. Sydorchuk—7970Y. Shcherbak—1111113
LJun 12 · 04:25V. Sydorchuk—71190Y. Shcherbak—1113113
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172LAug 30 · 10:55V. Sydorchuk2.2596131182P. Melnichuk1.571111118113
Y. Shcherbak10
LAug 30 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113Y. Shcherbak2.638980LAug 30 · 09:55Y. Shcherbak1.36971191P. Melnichuk3.0011115113WAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113WAug 30 · 04:55P. Chyzh2.00119591Y. Shcherbak1.7371111113LAug 29 · 17:55Y. Melnyk1.251111118123Y. Shcherbak3.75136711102LAug 29 · 16:55Y. Shcherbak1.17611711112V. Sydorchuk4.50119112133WAug 29 · 15:55Y. Shcherbak1.201111113O. Bolnyh4.335480WAug 29 · 14:25Y. Shcherbak2.101314113P. Chyzh1.67111270WAug 29 · 12:25Y. Shcherbak1.5311611113P. Melnichuk2.38911171LAug 27 · 10:25P. Melnichuk2.63141111113Y. Shcherbak1.44164781
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