TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037652
Played Aug 29Finished
Yuriy Shcherbak
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111197111121113
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:25 and never touched — 83.7% is still 83.7%
Graded at full timeYuriy Shcherbak to win
83.7%
83.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYuriy Shcherbak above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 92 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Yuriy Shcherbak at 83.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Yuriy Shcherbak 28–4 Viktor Sydorchuk Viktor Sydorchuk has won 4 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:25What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Shcherbak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-4 in 32
Shcherbak
Wrong
gap of 24 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shcherbak 971 vs Sydorchuk 837
Shcherbak
Wrong
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shcherbak 60% vs Sydorchuk 40%
Shcherbak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shcherbak 70% vs Sydorchuk 30%
Shcherbak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shcherbak +3 · Sydorchuk -2
Shcherbak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Shcherbak) · live re-read · sealed at 84% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShcherbak 1.17 / Sydorchuk 4.50
Signal prob.86% / 14%
Edge (Shcherbak)+6.2pp
Setka Cup · #13037652
Shcherbak1.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite77% won 86 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it90% 65 of 72
Sydorchuk4.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 47 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShcherbak9wins
AwaySydorchuk1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderShcherbak leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShcherbak100%8 of 8
AwaySydorchukn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shcherbak8Sydorchuk2n = 10Shcherbak took 8 of 10
S2Shcherbak8Sydorchuk2n = 10Shcherbak took 8 of 10
S3Shcherbak7Sydorchuk3n = 10Shcherbak took 7 of 10
S4Shcherbak5Sydorchuk0n = 5Shcherbak took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricShcherbakSydorchukShcherbak − SydorchukBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.529.5+9.0per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShcherbakSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 250 vs 132 / 31254.8%42.3%137 / 250 vs 132 / 312Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.136.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShcherbakShcherbak 1.17/Sydorchuk 4.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
85.6%
Shcherbak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 06:55Y. Shcherbak—1111113V. Sydorchuk—8780
WAug 26 · 16:25Y. Shcherbak—111110113V. Sydorchuk—971241
WAug 22 · 11:25Y. Shcherbak—11711113V. Sydorchuk—711691
WAug 21 · 13:25Y. Shcherbak—11117113V. Sydorchuk—551171
LAug 18 · 09:55Y. Shcherbak—71191182V. Sydorchuk—118116113
WAug 17 · 14:55Y. Shcherbak—1111113V. Sydorchuk—5750
WJul 17 · 15:25Y. Shcherbak—1111113V. Sydorchuk—7970
WJun 12 · 04:25Y. Shcherbak—1113113V. Sydorchuk—71190
WJun 11 · 12:55Y. Shcherbak—591111123V. Sydorchuk—111156102
WJun 6 · 11:25Y. Shcherbak—1211113V. Sydorchuk—10570
Y. Shcherbak10
LAug 30 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113Y. Shcherbak2.638980LAug 30 · 09:55Y. Shcherbak1.36971191P. Melnichuk3.0011115113WAug 30 · 07:55V. Sydorchuk4.00119118112Y. Shcherbak1.22811511133WAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113WAug 30 · 04:55P. Chyzh2.00119591Y. Shcherbak1.7371111113LAug 29 · 17:55Y. Melnyk1.251111118123Y. Shcherbak3.75136711102WAug 29 · 15:55Y. Shcherbak1.201111113O. Bolnyh4.335480WAug 29 · 14:25Y. Shcherbak2.101314113P. Chyzh1.67111270WAug 29 · 12:25Y. Shcherbak1.5311611113P. Melnichuk2.38911171LAug 27 · 10:25P. Melnichuk2.63141111113Y. Shcherbak1.44164781
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172LAug 30 · 07:55V. Sydorchuk4.00119118112Y. Shcherbak1.22811511133
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