TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054670
Played Sep 1Finished
Oleksii Kulbach
Home
6.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911118118119––
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
1.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:25 and never touched — 89.3% is still 89.3%
Graded at full timeViktor Sydorchuk to win
89.3%
89.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksii Kulbach above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Viktor Sydorchuk at 89.3%
78 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Kulbach 7–26 Viktor Sydorchuk Oleksii Kulbach has won 7 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:25What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Sydorchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-26 in 33
Sydorchuk
Wrong
gap of 19 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulbach 368 vs Sydorchuk 786
Sydorchuk
Wrong
both rated, 419 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulbach 20% vs Sydorchuk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulbach 20% vs Sydorchuk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulbach +1 · Sydorchuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Sydorchuk) · live re-read · sealed at 89% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulbach 6.50 / Sydorchuk 1.10
Signal prob.13% / 87%
Edge (Sydorchuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13054670
Kulbach6.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog13% won 11 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back7% 4 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Sydorchuk1.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 48 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it78% 36 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulbach0wins
AwaySydorchuk10wins
Sydorchuk leads 10–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulbachn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySydorchuk100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulbach2Sydorchuk8n = 10Sydorchuk took 8 of 10
S2Kulbach1Sydorchuk9n = 10Sydorchuk took 9 of 10
S3Kulbach3Sydorchuk7n = 10Sydorchuk took 7 of 10
S4Kulbach0Sydorchuk6n = 6Sydorchuk took 6 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulbachSydorchukK − SBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match28.539.0−10.5per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulbachSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 186 vs 135 / 32122%42.1%41 / 186 vs 135 / 321Avg sets wonper match1.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match33.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorchukKulbach 6.50/Sydorchuk 1.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
87.1%
Sydorchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kulbach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 13:25O. Kulbach—5770V. Sydorchuk—1111113
LAug 7 · 09:25O. Kulbach—7670V. Sydorchuk—1111113
LAug 6 · 04:55O. Kulbach—117281V. Sydorchuk—81111113
LJul 18 · 06:55O. Kulbach—4870V. Sydorchuk—1111113
LJul 17 · 16:25O. Kulbach—71111111V. Sydorchuk—11139133
LJul 9 · 12:55O. Kulbach—1171351V. Sydorchuk—91115113
LJul 1 · 14:55O. Kulbach—7111081V. Sydorchuk—11412113
LJun 19 · 09:25O. Kulbach—1571161V. Sydorchuk—17116113
LJun 18 · 16:25O. Kulbach—3440V. Sydorchuk—1111113
LJun 12 · 08:55O. Kulbach—9101171V. Sydorchuk—11128113
O. Kulbach10
WSep 5 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk1.22211117102O. Kulbach4.00118711123LSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113LSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143WSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113LSep 1 · 10:35B. Pyrtyk1.0891111113O. Kulbach7.00117891LSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123WSep 1 · 07:05O. Kulbach2.63121166113V. Moroz1.44109111162LSep 1 · 05:05O. Kulbach2.7595111172M. Senyk1.40111197113LAug 12 · 17:55O. Kulbach5.50111575102R. Skoropad1.138131111123
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172LAug 30 · 10:55V. Sydorchuk2.2596131182P. Melnichuk1.571111118113LAug 30 · 08:55O. Bolnyh1.91511911113V. Sydorchuk1.8011911662
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