TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078903
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleksii Kulbach
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118811911118117
Andrii Lanchut
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:34 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeOleksii Kulbach to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Kulbach above · Andrii Lanchut below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 95 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Oleksii Kulbach at 59.3%
95 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Kulbach 7–4 Andrii Lanchut Andrii Lanchut has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:34What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kulbach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Kulbach
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulbach 382 vs Lanchut 358
Kulbach
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulbach 40% vs Lanchut 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulbach 20% vs Lanchut 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulbach -3 · Lanchut -1
Kulbach
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kulbach) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulbach form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulbach 1.73 / Lanchut 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kulbach)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13078903
Kulbach1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Lanchut2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog11% won 4 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulbach6wins
AwayLanchut4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKulbach leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulbach62.5%5 of 8
AwayLanchutn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulbach8Lanchut2n = 10Kulbach took 8 of 10
S2Kulbach8Lanchut2n = 10Kulbach took 8 of 10
S3Kulbach3Lanchut7n = 10Lanchut took 7 of 10
S4Kulbach4Lanchut5n = 9Lanchut took 5 of 9
S5Kulbach3Lanchut4n = 7Lanchut took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulbachLanchutK − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match46.642.7+3.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulbachLanchutBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 190 vs 9 / 8523.2%10.6%44 / 190 vs 9 / 85Avg sets wonper match1.41.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.630.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulbachKulbach 1.73/Lanchut 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Kulbach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kulbach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach—118911113A. Lanchut—81111872
LSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach—121379102A. Lanchut—10111111123
WAug 12 · 11:55O. Kulbach—11119113A. Lanchut—941181
LJul 18 · 10:25O. Kulbach—111111682A. Lanchut—461311113
WJul 17 · 17:55O. Kulbach—1111113A. Lanchut—5690
WNov 14 · 08:25O. Kulbach—11125113A. Lanchut—6101181
WOct 22 · 12:25O. Kulbach—1011126123A. Lanchut—1261011102
LOct 18 · 06:25O. Kulbach—1171011142A. Lanchut—811126153
LOct 17 · 18:55O. Kulbach—1113118112A. Lanchut—1311511133
WOct 6 · 18:55O. Kulbach—111158113A. Lanchut—56111182
O. Kulbach10
WSep 5 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk1.22211117102O. Kulbach4.00118711123LSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113LSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143LSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113LSep 1 · 10:35B. Pyrtyk1.0891111113O. Kulbach7.00117891LSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123WSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 07:05O. Kulbach2.63121166113V. Moroz1.44109111162LSep 1 · 05:05O. Kulbach2.7595111172M. Senyk1.40111197113LAug 12 · 17:55O. Kulbach5.50111575102R. Skoropad1.138131111123
A. Lanchut10
LSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 08:55M. Kornijchuk1.20681141A. Lanchut4.3311117113LSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113LSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WSep 1 · 11:35A. Lanchut4.501114113M. Senyk1.1771280WSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123LSep 1 · 07:35B. Pyrtyk1.1011115113A. Lanchut6.50241161LSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 05:35V. Moroz1.83711118113A. Lanchut1.8311971162LAug 13 · 10:55R. Skoropad1.17117118113A. Lanchut4.5081181192
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.