TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078983
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrii Lanchut
Home
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911711––––
Mykhailo Senyk
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 75.8% is still 75.8%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Senyk to win
75.8%
75.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Lanchut above · Mykhailo Senyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Mykhailo Senyk at 75.8%
56 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lanchut 1–13 Mykhailo Senyk Andrii Lanchut has won 1 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Senyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-13 in 14
Senyk
Correct
gap of 12 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lanchut 366 vs Senyk 602
Senyk
Correct
both rated, 236 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lanchut 40% vs Senyk 60%
Senyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lanchut 30% vs Senyk 50%
Senyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lanchut +1 · Senyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Senyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanchut 3.40 / Senyk 1.30
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Senyk)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13078983
Lanchut3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog10% won 3 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back8% 2 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Senyk1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 71 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it82% 50 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLanchut1wins
AwaySenyk9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSenyk leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanchut33.3%1 of 3
AwaySenyk100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lanchut3Senyk7n = 10Senyk took 7 of 10
S2Lanchut4Senyk6n = 10Senyk took 6 of 10
S3Lanchut2Senyk8n = 10Senyk took 8 of 10
S4Lanchut3Senyk2n = 5Lanchut took 3 of 5
S5Lanchut0Senyk4n = 4Senyk took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricLanchutSenykL − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.440.2−6.8per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLanchutSenykBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 84 vs 141 / 35010.7%40.3%9 / 84 vs 141 / 350Avg sets wonper match1.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match30.135.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SenykLanchut 3.40/Senyk 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.8%
Senyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Senyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 11:35A. Lanchut—1114113M. Senyk—71280
LAug 13 · 06:25A. Lanchut—1011111192M. Senyk—128133113
LAug 12 · 18:25A. Lanchut—81080M. Senyk—1112113
LJul 18 · 07:25A. Lanchut—11119672M. Senyk—871111113
LJul 17 · 15:55A. Lanchut—5690M. Senyk—1111113
LJul 10 · 05:55A. Lanchut—4611111M. Senyk—11117133
LNov 14 · 05:25A. Lanchut—12681142M. Senyk—1011115113
LOct 22 · 15:55A. Lanchut—8540M. Senyk—1111113
LOct 17 · 15:25A. Lanchut—57120M. Senyk—1111143
LOct 6 · 13:25A. Lanchut—41551172M. Senyk—1113118113
A. Lanchut10
WSep 5 · 08:55M. Kornijchuk1.20681141A. Lanchut4.3311117113LSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113LSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WSep 1 · 11:35A. Lanchut4.501114113M. Senyk1.1771280WSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123LSep 1 · 07:35B. Pyrtyk1.1011115113A. Lanchut6.50241161LSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 05:35V. Moroz1.83711118113A. Lanchut1.8311971162LAug 13 · 10:55R. Skoropad1.17117118113A. Lanchut4.5081181192
M. Senyk10
WSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143LSep 5 · 06:25O. Bolnyh1.4411116113M. Senyk2.63771181LSep 1 · 11:35A. Lanchut4.501114113M. Senyk1.1771280WSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760WSep 1 · 08:05V. Moroz3.40991461M. Senyk1.30111112113LSep 1 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk1.13911116113M. Senyk5.5011961172WSep 1 · 05:05O. Kulbach2.7595111172M. Senyk1.40111197113LAug 18 · 10:55M. Senyk6.506950Y. Shcherbak1.101111113LAug 18 · 08:55P. Melnichuk1.10118179113M. Senyk6.50911151182
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