TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054607
Played Sep 1Finished
Andrii Lanchut
Home
4.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171412118––––
Mykhailo Senyk
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:14 and never touched — 82.9% is still 82.9%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Senyk to win
82.9%
82.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Lanchut above · Mykhailo Senyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 63 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Mykhailo Senyk at 82.9%
63 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lanchut 0–13 Mykhailo Senyk Andrii Lanchut has won 0 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:14What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Senyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-13 in 13
Senyk
Wrong
gap of 13 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lanchut 338 vs Senyk 609
Senyk
Wrong
both rated, 271 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lanchut 20% vs Senyk 60%
Senyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lanchut 10% vs Senyk 40%
Senyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lanchut +1 · Senyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Senyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanchut 4.50 / Senyk 1.17
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Senyk)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13054607
Lanchut4.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog4% won 1 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back5% 1 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Senyk1.17
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite71% won 70 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it81% 48 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLanchut0wins
AwaySenyk10wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSenyk leads 10–0, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanchutn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySenyk100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lanchut2Senyk8n = 10Senyk took 8 of 10
S2Lanchut4Senyk6n = 10Senyk took 6 of 10
S3Lanchut1Senyk9n = 10Senyk took 9 of 10
S4Lanchut3Senyk3n = 6split evenly
S5Lanchut0Senyk4n = 4Senyk took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricLanchutSenykL − SBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.541.4−8.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLanchutSenykBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 79 vs 139 / 3468.9%40.2%7 / 79 vs 139 / 346Avg sets wonper match0.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match29.734.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SenykLanchut 4.50/Senyk 1.17
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
82.9%
Senyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lanchut won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 06:25A. Lanchut—1011111192M. Senyk—128133113
LAug 12 · 18:25A. Lanchut—81080M. Senyk—1112113
LJul 18 · 07:25A. Lanchut—11119672M. Senyk—871111113
LJul 17 · 15:55A. Lanchut—5690M. Senyk—1111113
LJul 10 · 05:55A. Lanchut—4611111M. Senyk—11117133
LNov 14 · 05:25A. Lanchut—12681142M. Senyk—1011115113
LOct 22 · 15:55A. Lanchut—8540M. Senyk—1111113
LOct 17 · 15:25A. Lanchut—57120M. Senyk—1111143
LOct 6 · 13:25A. Lanchut—41551172M. Senyk—1113118113
LSep 30 · 08:55A. Lanchut—511471M. Senyk—11611113
A. Lanchut10
LSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 08:55M. Kornijchuk1.20681141A. Lanchut4.3311117113LSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113LSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123LSep 1 · 07:35B. Pyrtyk1.1011115113A. Lanchut6.50241161LSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 05:35V. Moroz1.83711118113A. Lanchut1.8311971162LAug 13 · 10:55R. Skoropad1.17117118113A. Lanchut4.5081181192
M. Senyk10
WSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143LSep 5 · 06:25O. Bolnyh1.4411116113M. Senyk2.63771181WSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760WSep 1 · 08:05V. Moroz3.40991461M. Senyk1.30111112113LSep 1 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk1.13911116113M. Senyk5.5011961172WSep 1 · 05:05O. Kulbach2.7595111172M. Senyk1.40111197113LAug 18 · 10:55M. Senyk6.506950Y. Shcherbak1.101111113LAug 18 · 08:55P. Melnichuk1.10118179113M. Senyk6.50911151182
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.