TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054821
Played Sep 1Finished
Mykhailo Senyk
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117116––––
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Senyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMykhailo Senyk above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Mykhailo Senyk at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Senyk 38–20 Viktor Sydorchuk Viktor Sydorchuk has won 20 of their 58 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Senyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
38-20 in 58
Senyk
Correct
gap of 18 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Senyk 585 vs Sydorchuk 763
Sydorchuk
Wrong
both rated, 178 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Senyk 40% vs Sydorchuk 20%
Senyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Senyk 30% vs Sydorchuk 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Senyk +1 · Sydorchuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sydorchuk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenyk 1.80 / Sydorchuk 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Senyk)-5.5pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13054821
Senyk1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite71% won 70 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it81% 48 of 59
Sydorchuk1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 50 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back11% 8 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSenyk6wins
AwaySydorchuk4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSenyk leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSenyk60%3 of 5
AwaySydorchuk40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senyk5Sydorchuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Senyk4Sydorchuk6n = 10Sydorchuk took 6 of 10
S3Senyk8Sydorchuk2n = 10Senyk took 8 of 10
S4Senyk6Sydorchuk2n = 8Senyk took 6 of 8
S5Senyk2Sydorchuk3n = 5Sydorchuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSenykSydorchukSenyk − SydorchukBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.139.0+2.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenykSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 345 vs 135 / 32240%41.9%138 / 345 vs 135 / 322Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match34.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SenykSenyk 1.80/Sydorchuk 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sydorchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Senyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 07:55M. Senyk—7111111113V. Sydorchuk—11136352
LAug 17 · 13:25M. Senyk—99111152V. Sydorchuk—111159113
WAug 13 · 07:25M. Senyk—1111113V. Sydorchuk—6890
WAug 12 · 15:25M. Senyk—1113113V. Sydorchuk—91190
WAug 7 · 07:25M. Senyk—11913113V. Sydorchuk—8111181
WAug 6 · 07:55M. Senyk—6111111113V. Sydorchuk—11134882
LAug 5 · 14:55M. Senyk—11511872V. Sydorchuk—711811113
WJul 18 · 05:25M. Senyk—61112113V. Sydorchuk—1151081
LJul 17 · 18:25M. Senyk—118621V. Sydorchuk—81111113
LJul 10 · 08:55M. Senyk—91161172V. Sydorchuk—118117113
M. Senyk10
WSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143LSep 5 · 06:25O. Bolnyh1.4411116113M. Senyk2.63771181LSep 1 · 11:35A. Lanchut4.501114113M. Senyk1.1771280WSep 1 · 08:05V. Moroz3.40991461M. Senyk1.30111112113LSep 1 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk1.13911116113M. Senyk5.5011961172WSep 1 · 05:05O. Kulbach2.7595111172M. Senyk1.40111197113LAug 18 · 10:55M. Senyk6.506950Y. Shcherbak1.101111113LAug 18 · 08:55P. Melnichuk1.10118179113M. Senyk6.50911151182
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172LAug 30 · 10:55V. Sydorchuk2.2596131182P. Melnichuk1.571111118113LAug 30 · 08:55O. Bolnyh1.91511911113V. Sydorchuk1.8011911662
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