TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12451058
Played Aug 18Finished
Mykhailo Senyk
Home
6.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911511––––
Yuriy Shcherbak
Away
1.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:38 and never touched — 95.0% is still 95.0%
Graded at full timeYuriy Shcherbak to win
95.0%
95.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Senyk above · Yuriy Shcherbak below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Yuriy Shcherbak at 95.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Senyk 5–25 Yuriy Shcherbak Mykhailo Senyk has won 5 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Shcherbak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-25 in 30
Shcherbak
Correct
gap of 20 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Senyk 581 vs Shcherbak 852
Shcherbak
Correct
both rated, 271 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Senyk 20% vs Shcherbak 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Senyk 10% vs Shcherbak 50%
Shcherbak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Senyk -1 · Shcherbak -4
Shcherbak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 95% — Strong (leans Shcherbak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shcherbak form (20%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenyk 6.50 / Shcherbak 1.10
Signal prob.5% / 95%
Edge (Shcherbak)+9.5pp
Setka Cup · #12451058
Senyk6.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog18% won 19 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back5% 4 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Shcherbak1.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite79% won 77 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it92% 59 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSenyk1wins
AwayShcherbak9wins
Shcherbak leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSenykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayShcherbak100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senyk2Shcherbak8n = 10Shcherbak took 8 of 10
S2Senyk3Shcherbak7n = 10Shcherbak took 7 of 10
S3Senyk1Shcherbak9n = 10Shcherbak took 9 of 10
S4Senyk0Shcherbak3n = 3Shcherbak took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricSenykShcherbakSenyk − ShcherbakBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match24.335.6−11.3per matchSweeps16−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenykShcherbakBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 351 vs 121 / 22639.6%53.5%139 / 351 vs 121 / 226Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.834.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShcherbakSenyk 6.50/Shcherbak 1.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
95%
Shcherbak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Shcherbak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 18:55M. Senyk—3940Y. Shcherbak—1111113
LAug 14 · 12:55M. Senyk—119581Y. Shcherbak—71111113
LJul 17 · 17:25M. Senyk—1011681Y. Shcherbak—12811113
LJun 12 · 08:25M. Senyk—8640Y. Shcherbak—1111113
LJun 11 · 14:55M. Senyk—6470Y. Shcherbak—1111113
LJun 8 · 16:25M. Senyk—13750Y. Shcherbak—1511113
WJun 6 · 05:55M. Senyk—1112113Y. Shcherbak—91080
LJun 5 · 14:55M. Senyk—5930Y. Shcherbak—1111113
LMay 28 · 11:55M. Senyk—714561Y. Shcherbak—111211113
LMay 27 · 09:05M. Senyk—9520Y. Shcherbak—1111113
M. Senyk10
WSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143LSep 5 · 06:25O. Bolnyh1.4411116113M. Senyk2.63771181LSep 1 · 11:35A. Lanchut4.501114113M. Senyk1.1771280WSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760WSep 1 · 08:05V. Moroz3.40991461M. Senyk1.30111112113LSep 1 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk1.13911116113M. Senyk5.5011961172WSep 1 · 05:05O. Kulbach2.7595111172M. Senyk1.40111197113LAug 18 · 08:55P. Melnichuk1.10118179113M. Senyk6.50911151182
Y. Shcherbak10
LAug 30 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113Y. Shcherbak2.638980LAug 30 · 09:55Y. Shcherbak1.36971191P. Melnichuk3.0011115113WAug 30 · 07:55V. Sydorchuk4.00119118112Y. Shcherbak1.22811511133WAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113WAug 30 · 04:55P. Chyzh2.00119591Y. Shcherbak1.7371111113LAug 29 · 17:55Y. Melnyk1.251111118123Y. Shcherbak3.75136711102LAug 29 · 16:55Y. Shcherbak1.17611711112V. Sydorchuk4.50119112133WAug 29 · 15:55Y. Shcherbak1.201111113O. Bolnyh4.335480WAug 29 · 14:25Y. Shcherbak2.101314113P. Chyzh1.67111270WAug 29 · 12:25Y. Shcherbak1.5311611113P. Melnichuk2.38911171
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