TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043725
Played Aug 30Finished
Pavlo Chyzh
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117911511911––
Yuriy Shcherbak
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYuriy Shcherbak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavlo Chyzh above · Yuriy Shcherbak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Yuriy Shcherbak at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Chyzh 0–3 Yuriy Shcherbak Pavlo Chyzh has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Shcherbak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Shcherbak
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chyzh 935 vs Shcherbak 948
Shcherbak
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chyzh 40% vs Shcherbak 60%
Shcherbak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chyzh 30% vs Shcherbak 50%
Shcherbak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chyzh +1 · Shcherbak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Shcherbak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChyzh 2.00 / Shcherbak 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Shcherbak)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13043725
Chyzh2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog30% won 16 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Shcherbak1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite77% won 88 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it91% 67 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeChyzh0wins
AwayShcherbak3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderShcherbak leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChyzhn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayShcherbak100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chyzh0Shcherbak3n = 3Shcherbak took 3 of 3
S2Chyzh1Shcherbak2n = 3Shcherbak took 2 of 3
S3Chyzh1Shcherbak2n = 3Shcherbak took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricChyzhShcherbakC − SBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match37.344.7−7.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChyzhShcherbakBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 203 vs 137 / 25239.9%54.4%81 / 203 vs 137 / 252Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.335.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShcherbakChyzh 2.00/Shcherbak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Shcherbak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shcherbak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 29 · 14:25P. Chyzh—111270Y. Shcherbak—1314113
LAug 11 · 09:25P. Chyzh—952091Y. Shcherbak—111118113
LAug 10 · 16:25P. Chyzh—61171142Y. Shcherbak—116116113
P. Chyzh10
LAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh3.25117119113P. Chyzh1.3391191132WAug 30 · 09:25P. Chyzh2.25713119113V. Ivanytskyi1.57111151192LAug 30 · 08:25P. Chyzh1.3312681182P. Melnichuk3.251011119113LAug 30 · 06:55P. Chyzh1.731111951V. Sydorchuk2.0013911113WAug 29 · 18:25P. Chyzh1.4491111143O. Bolnyh2.631198121LAug 29 · 16:25Y. Melnyk1.671112113P. Chyzh2.1021070WAug 29 · 15:25P. Chyzh1.40101111113P. Melnichuk2.75129891LAug 29 · 14:25Y. Shcherbak2.101314113P. Chyzh1.67111270LAug 29 · 12:55P. Chyzh1.44881141V. Sydorchuk2.6311115113LAug 11 · 11:25P. Chyzh1.919139101V. Ivanytskyi1.80111111123
Y. Shcherbak10
LAug 30 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113Y. Shcherbak2.638980LAug 30 · 09:55Y. Shcherbak1.36971191P. Melnichuk3.0011115113WAug 30 · 07:55V. Sydorchuk4.00119118112Y. Shcherbak1.22811511133WAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113LAug 29 · 17:55Y. Melnyk1.251111118123Y. Shcherbak3.75136711102LAug 29 · 16:55Y. Shcherbak1.17611711112V. Sydorchuk4.50119112133WAug 29 · 15:55Y. Shcherbak1.201111113O. Bolnyh4.335480WAug 29 · 14:25Y. Shcherbak2.101314113P. Chyzh1.67111270WAug 29 · 12:25Y. Shcherbak1.5311611113P. Melnichuk2.38911171LAug 27 · 10:25P. Melnichuk2.63141111113Y. Shcherbak1.44164781
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